{"data":{"sci_version": "1.2", "schema": "https://corpus.bntrg.co.uk/sci/1.0/sci.schema.json", "id": "pmid:36182629", "kind": "science-record", "revision": 4, "content_hash": "sha256:81f1e243c37b366daf4b5283a67b0836b5c5a44cb4e26f0277c6386c45e8c025", "created_at": "2026-11-01T18:15:28Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-01T22:07:40Z", "generator": {"name": "corpus-assay-engine", "run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01"}, "paper": {"state": "complete", "title": "Plasma proteomic signature predicts who will get persistent symptoms following SARS-CoV-2 infection.", "doi": "10.1016/j.ebiom.2022.104293", "pmid": "36182629", "authors": ["Gabriella Captur", "James C Moon", "Constantin-Cristian Topriceanu", "George Joy", "Leo Swadling", "Jenny Hallqvist", "Ivan Doykov", "Nina Patel", "Justyna Spiewak", "Tomas Baldwin", "Matt Hamblin", "Katia Menacho", "Marianna Fontana", "Thomas A Treibel", "Charlotte Manisty", "Ben O'Brien", "Joseph M Gibbons", "Corrina Pade", "Tim Brooks", "Daniel M Altmann", "Rosemary J Boyton", "Áine McKnight", "Mala K Maini", "Mahdad Noursadeghi", "Kevin Mills", "Wendy E Heywood"], "journal": "EBioMedicine", "year": 2022, "abstract": "BACKGROUND: The majority of those infected by ancestral Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the UK first wave (starting March 2020) did not require hospitalisation. Most had a short-lived mild or asymptomatic infection, while others had symptoms that persisted for weeks or months. We hypothesized that the plasma proteome at the time of first infection would reflect differences in the inflammatory response that linked to symptom severity and duration.\nMETHODS: We performed a nested longitudinal case-control study and targeted analysis of the plasma proteome of 156 healthcare workers (HCW) with and without lab confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Targeted proteomic multiple-reaction monitoring analysis of 91 pre-selected proteins was undertaken in uninfected healthcare workers at baseline, and in infected healthcare workers serially, from 1 week prior to 6 weeks after their first confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Symptom severity and antibody responses were also tracked. Questionnaires at 6 and 12 months collected data on persistent symptoms.\nFINDINGS: Within this cohort (median age 39 years, interquartile range 30-47 years), 54 healthcare workers (44% male) had PCR or antibody confirmed infection, with the remaining 102 (38% male) serving as uninfected controls. Following the first confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, perturbation of the plasma proteome persisted for up to 6 weeks, tracking symptom severity and antibody responses. Differentially abundant proteins were mostly coordinated around lipid, atherosclerosis and cholesterol metabolism pathways, complement and coagulation cascades, autophagy, and lysosomal function. The proteomic profile at the time of seroconversion associated with persistent symptoms out to 12 months. Data are available via ProteomeXchange with identifier PXD036590.\nINTERPRETATION: Our findings show that non-severe SARS-CoV-2 infection perturbs the plasma proteome for at least 6 weeks. The plasma proteomic signature at the time of seroconversion has the potential to identify which individuals are more likely to suffer from persistent symptoms related to SARS-CoV-2 infection.\nFUNDING INFORMATION: The COVIDsortium is supported by funding donated by individuals, charitable Trusts, and corporations including Goldman Sachs, Citadel and Citadel Securities, The Guy Foundation, GW Pharmaceuticals, Kusuma Trust, and Jagclif Charitable Trust, and enabled by Barts Charity with support from University College London Hospitals (UCLH) Charity. This work was additionally supported by the Translational Mass Spectrometry Research Group and the Biomedical Research Center (BRC) at Great Ormond Street Hospital.", "claims": [{"id": "claim-method", "statement": "We applied random forest-based modelling using the Breiman and Cutler algorithm in R package ‘randomForest’, as previously described,21 to rank the 91 plasma proteomics biomarkers according to their discriminative power to predict persistent symptoms at 12 months. In the absence of a separate test dataset to validate the performance of the random forest multi-marker panel in predicting persistent symptoms, we undertook linear discriminant analysis (LDA) using R package ‘MASS’ in the same cohort of seropositive HCW to estimate the misclassification rate.", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:36182629", "locator": "sections[8] \"General statistical methods\" paragraph 3", "quote": "We applied random forest-based modelling using the Breiman and Cutler algorithm in R package ‘randomForest’, as previously described,21 to rank the 91 plasma proteomics biomarkers according to their discriminative power to predict persistent symptoms at 12 months."}, {"asset": "source:pmid:36182629", "locator": "sections[8] \"General statistical methods\" paragraph 3", "quote": "In the absence of a separate test dataset to validate the performance of the random forest multi-marker panel in predicting persistent symptoms, we undertook linear discriminant analysis (LDA) using R package ‘MASS’ in the same cohort of seropositive HCW to estimate the misclassification rate."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-data-access", "statement": "With publication all deidentified MS proteomics will be openly available via the ProteomeXchange Consortium (http://proteomecentral.proteomexchange.org) and the PRIDE partner repository18 with identifier PXD036590. All COVIDsortium HCW clinicodemographic data, including study protocols and templates of informed consent forms used for the study, are freely available following a data access request through the COVIDsortium data access portal. Source code and test data are available via GitHub (https://github.com/gcaptur/COVID-Proteomics).", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:36182629", "locator": "sections[22] \"Data sharing statement\" paragraph 2", "quote": "With publication all deidentified MS proteomics will be openly available via the ProteomeXchange Consortium (http://proteomecentral.proteomexchange.org) and the PRIDE partner repository18 with identifier PXD036590. All COVIDsortium HCW clinicodemographic data, including study protocols and templates of informed consent forms used for the study, are freely available following a data access request through the COVIDsortium data access portal. Source code and test data are available via GitHub (https://github.com/gcaptur/COVID-Proteomics)."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-target-result", "statement": "Following the first confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, perturbation of the plasma proteome persisted for up to 6 weeks, tracking symptom severity and antibody responses.", "kind": "qualitative", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:36182629", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "Following the first confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, perturbation of the plasma proteome persisted for up to 6 weeks, tracking symptom severity and antibody responses."}], "state": "complete"}], "gaps": []}, "experiment": {"state": "partial", "objective": "Following the first confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, perturbation of the plasma proteome persisted for up to 6 weeks, tracking symptom severity and antibody responses.", "steps": [{"id": "read_published_estimate", "order": 1, "name": "Read the published estimate from the source", "kind": "other", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The claim, method and evidence span published with the source article.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["source:pmid:36182629"], "outputs": ["the published estimate and its evidence"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "obtain_source_data", "order": 2, "name": "Obtain the source data from the named repository", "kind": "data-preparation", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The GEO series accession resolves and its sample accessions are listed. This lane did not download the dataset or read its licence.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:PXD036590"], "outputs": ["the source data with its repository provenance"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "run_analysis", "order": 3, "name": "Run the published analysis", "kind": "analysis", "state": "blocked", "blocked_on": "method:machine_learning_random_forest", "description": "Apply the paper's statistical method to the resolved series and compare the result with the published target.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:PXD036590"], "outputs": ["the replicated result and its comparison"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}], "materials": [], "instruments": [], "reagents": [], "conditions": {}, "gaps": ["step:run_analysis blocked on method:machine_learning_random_forest"]}, "data": {"state": "partial", "assets": [{"id": "source:pmid:36182629", "role": "manuscript", "format": "xml", "media_type": "application/xml", "uri": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ebiom.2022.104293", "sha256": "sha256:2712eae2a6292cd5c36606e8dc3e81a60557585a3d6d1ab955cf0a2a905dcd24", "bytes": 47430, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "10.1016/j.ebiom.2022.104293", "version": null, "note": "Full article fetched from PMC; the checksum covers the rendered section body, not the original XML bytes.", "structure": {"pmcid": "PMC9515404", "source": "europe_pmc_fulltext", "coverage": "whole_body_without_references", "text_hash_scope": "rendered_section_body"}}, {"id": "data:geo:PXD036590", "role": "raw", "format": "geo-series", "media_type": "application/vnd.ncbi.geo-series+json", "uri": "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=PXD036590", "sha256": null, "bytes": null, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "PXD036590", "version": null, "note": "With publication all deidentified MS proteomics will be openly available via the ProteomeXchange Consortium (http://proteomecentral.proteomexchange.org) and the PRIDE partner repository18 with identifier PXD036590. All COVIDsortium HCW clinicodemographic data, including study protocols and templates of informed consent forms used for the study, are freely available following a data access request through the COVIDsortium data access portal. Source code and test data are available via GitHub (https://github.com/gcaptur/COVID-Proteomics).", "structure": {"repository": "GEO", "access_route": "GEO accession URL", "access_statement_verbatim": "With publication all deidentified MS proteomics will be openly available via the ProteomeXchange Consortium (http://proteomecentral.proteomexchange.org) and the PRIDE partner repository18 with identifier PXD036590. All COVIDsortium HCW clinicodemographic data, including study protocols and templates of informed consent forms used for the study, are freely available following a data access request through the COVIDsortium data access portal. Source code and test data are available via GitHub (https://github.com/gcaptur/COVID-Proteomics).", "access_statement_kind": "data_availability_statement", "sample_accessions": [], "sample_count": null, "group_sizes": null, "group_sizes_basis": null, "platform": null, "taxon": null, "title": "Plasma proteomic signature predicts who will get persistent symptoms following SARS-CoV-2 infection", "resolution_checked_at": "2026-11-01T18:46:41Z", "resolution_check": "identifier_resolution_only_no_download_no_licence_read", "downloaded": false, "licence_read": false}}], "gaps": ["asset:data:geo:PXD036590 not downloaded", "asset:data:geo:PXD036590 licence not read"]}, "analysis": {"state": "partial", "methods": [{"id": "method-1", "family": "machine_learning", "specific": "random_forest", "label": "Machine learning", "dsl_operations": [], "missing_operations": ["machine_learning_random_forest"], "expressible": false, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["labelled_feature_matrix"], "evidence": {"score": 1.0, "band": "reordered", "quote": "We applied random forest-based modelling using the Breiman and Cutler algorithm in R package ‘randomForest’, as previously described,21 to rank the 91 plasma proteomics biomarkers according to their discriminative power to predict persistent symptoms at 12 months. In the absence of a separate test dataset to validate the performance of the random forest multi-marker panel in predicting persistent symptoms, we undertook linear discriminant analysis (LDA) using R package ‘MASS’ in the same cohort of seropositive HCW to estimate the misclassification rate."}}, {"id": "method-2", "family": "group_comparison", "specific": "mann_whitney", "label": "Group comparison", "dsl_operations": [], "missing_operations": ["group_comparison_mann_whitney"], "expressible": false, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["two_or_more_groups_continuous"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "Mann-Whitney"}}, {"id": "method-3", "family": "regression_modelling", "specific": "logistic", "label": "Regression modelling", "dsl_operations": ["glm_logit_fit"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["predictors_and_outcome"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "logistic regression"}}, {"id": "method-4", "family": "correlation_analysis", "specific": "pearson", "label": "Correlation analysis", "dsl_operations": ["pearson_r"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["paired_numeric_columns"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "Pearson's correlation"}}, {"id": "method-5", "family": "contingency_analysis", "specific": "chi_square", "label": "Categorical (contingency table) analysis", "dsl_operations": ["chi_square_test"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["categorical_cross_tabulation"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "Chi-square"}}, {"id": "method-6", "family": "contingency_analysis", "specific": "fisher_exact", "label": "Categorical (contingency table) analysis", "dsl_operations": ["contingency_table", "chi_square_test"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["categorical_cross_tabulation"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "Fisher's exact"}}], "targets": [], "gaps": ["method.reader_differs_from_extractor", "method.machine_learning_random_forest"]}, "capability": {"state": "complete", "requirements": [{"capability_id": "capability:computational_analysis", "label": "Computational analysis platform", "assay_families": ["meta_analysis", "machine_learning", "survival_analysis", "statistical_regression", "pca", "molecular_docking", "network_analysis", "differential_expression", "gwas"], "availability_state": "owned", "tier_unlocked": "R1", "candidate": "Automated Assays Laravel application and simulated adapters"}], "gaps": []}, "readiness": {"state": "complete", "tier": "R1", "blocking_axis": "none", "blocked_on": "nothing:replicable_now", "axes": {"method": {"tier": "R1", "expressible": false, "required_operations": [], "missing_operations": ["machine_learning_random_forest"], "basis": "The paper names the method it used and the corpus's method extractor maps it onto the DSL catalogue: random_forest."}, "capability": {"tier": "R1", "capability_id": "capability:computational_analysis", "availability_state": "owned", "basis": "The computational analysis is owned. 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In the absence of a separate test dataset to validate the performance of the random forest multi-marker panel in predicting persistent symptoms, we undertook linear discriminant analysis (LDA) using R package ‘MASS’ in the same cohort of seropositive HCW to estimate the misclassification rate."], "order_basis": "analysis_only", "id": "assay:1"}]},"meta":{"api_version":"v1","automation_ladder_snapshot":"ba34b49490d9bfaf","automation_ladder_caveats":["Method extraction is rule-based and has no hand-judged accuracy sample. Evidence bands order textual support; method agreement intervals are null (n=0), never probabilities. Work-type validation does not validate methods.","Operation coverage describes only explicitly named methods. It does not prove a complete protocol, compatible parameters, successful compilation or re-execution. Unrecognised or ambiguous methods require review.","Data reachability is a textual accession or public-data statement. No dataset was downloaded or checked for access, completeness or licence.","Capabilities are planning states seeded from the dated equipment register. No bench ownership, completed quote or partner booking is inferred. Procurement counts are dependencies, not guaranteed replications or financial returns.","Tier and blocker counts are deterministic assessments of this corpus, not measured agreement. R3 is reserved for procurement; unresolved methods and data require human work (R4). The most restrictive axis wins, with capability, method, data as tie-breaks. Resolving one blocker can leave another at the same tier."],"engine":"corpus_engine","engine_provider":"rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f","run_id":"run-20261023T122449232913","source":"esearch","source_detail":"PubMed mirror biomed_pubmed (read-only)","run_status":"complete","imported_at":"2026-11-03T20:16:52+00:00","generated_at":"2026-11-04T01:47:33+00:00","total_papers":5529,"total_assays_tracked":29,"automatable_assay_families":6,"validated":true,"caveat_count":9,"blocking_caveats":5,"caveats":[{"code":"low_evidence_dominates","basis":["4,152 of 5,529 classifications (75.1%) matched no cue evidence and sit at the 0.05 floor.","34 of 230 data_only calls (14.8%) are in that group."],"claim":"Work type and confidence bands","gloss":"Most records were classified from their title and framing alone, with assay-cue coverage at zero.","detail":"Most classifications in this run rest on no matched evidence at all. At the evidence floor the work type comes from title framing and a fixed prior, not from anything in the paper, so the published work-type split should be read as a rough triage signal rather than a measured distribution. The impact is bounded but not removed: since 2026-10-23 the engine excludes floor-confidence records from the shortlist entirely and publishes them separately as held out, so the recommendation is unaffected even though the census is.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"runtime_is_modelled","basis":["Runtime is summed from published per-assay hour figures. Timing awaits the first executed replication.","4,407 of 5,529 records (79.7%) model to 0.00 hours because no assay was matched, which the ranking then reads as \"cheapest\".","0 of 10 shortlisted records carry a 0.00-hour estimate."],"claim":"Estimated replication runtime","gloss":"The hour figures are estimates built from assay mentions; timing awaits the first executed replication.","detail":"The hour figures are a cost model derived from the bench steps implied by each matched assay family. The first executed replication will supply measured timing. Records without an assay match currently receive a zero-hour model value.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"signal_score_without_citations","basis":["5,529 of 5,529 records (100.0%) have no citation count from the source metadata."],"claim":"Signal score","gloss":"The signal score uses publication-type weight because the mirror supplied zero citation counts.","detail":"The source supplied no citation counts for any record in this run, so the signal score is publication-type weight only. The citation term of the ranking is inert here, and the shortlist is ordered by publication type alone.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"abstract_absent","basis":["1,667 of 5,529 records (30.2%) carry no abstract at all."],"claim":"Evidence base for classification","gloss":"Some records contain a title and publication type only, defining the available classification evidence.","detail":"Where the mirror contains a title and publication types only, those fields define the classifier evidence. A methods section is required for fuller automated and human review.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"},{"code":"classifier_agreement_measured","basis":["Published two-way decision agreement 77.7% (310 of 399 decidable records) from a stratified hand-check of 438 real records.","Three-way diagnostic agreement 73.9% (288 of 390 decidable records).","data_only agreement 75.2% (100 of 133 decidable).","48 record(s) could not be decided from title and abstract and were excluded from the denominator.","56 analysis-only records were published under another work type, so the data_only share is not an upper bound."],"claim":"Published automatable decision","gloss":"This figure has been checked against a human reading the same papers, so we know how often it is right.","detail":"The published automatable / not-automatable distribution comes from a rule-based classifier that was hand-checked against a fixed ground-truth definition. The agreement rates below are measured, not estimated. The three-way work type remains a diagnostic and is reported separately.","status":"measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"llm_comparison_not_measured","basis":["rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f produced 5,529 of 5,529 classifications.","Measured on 438 labelled records; these are RULE-BASED figures, not model results."],"claim":"Rule-based versus LLM agreement","gloss":"Every number here is the rule engine’s own. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","detail":"The published two-way decision agreed with a human reading on 310 of 399 decidable records (77.7%). The diagnostic three-way label agreed on 288 of 390 decidable records (73.9%). Every percentage in this run belongs to the rule engine. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","status":"not_measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"confidence_is_a_band","basis":["low band: 135 of 210 hand-judged records were correct, 64.3% [57.6, 70.5] (95% CI).","medium band: 80 of 104 hand-judged records were correct, 76.9% [68.0, 84.0] (95% CI).","high band: 73 of 76 hand-judged records were correct, 96.0% [89.0, 98.7] (95% CI).","A fitted calibrated probability was built, measured and withdrawn: it overstated held-out accuracy and reorders nothing."],"claim":"Confidence band and evidence score","gloss":"The confidence band carries a measured accuracy interval; 0.85 represents relative rank strength.","detail":"Confidence on this run is a BAND plus its measured accuracy interval. The number stored alongside each record is a monotone evidence score that orders records; 0.85 represents relative rank strength. A fitted probability was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy. Threshold on the band.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"three_way_split_is_diagnostic","basis":["The corpus is published at the two-way decision: automatable or not-automatable. The three-way split (data_only / physical / mixed) is published as a diagnostic with its measured reliability attached, not as a claim, because the rule engine's `mixed` call cannot be defended.","The engine called 22 record(s) mixed; 10 matched the human judgement (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9-65.3).","The engine's `mixed` call is right on 10/22 hand-judged records (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9%-65.3%); a constant `physical` guess scores 36.4%.","The engine's `mixed` call does not reliably beat a constant `physical` guess on the hand-judged records it labels mixed.","The sign of that difference flips between two independent samples, so the three-way refinement is not demonstrably informative.","The mixed stratum contributes a disproportionate share of errors relative to its size.","At title-only depth the physical/mixed split collapses: a title says that work was done, not whether it was also analysed."],"claim":"The published decision is two-way","gloss":"The three-way split is shown for diagnosis only. The published split is two ways.","detail":"Count and filter the corpus on automatable versus not-automatable. The data_only / physical / mixed split remains an internal engine diagnostic because the mixed call has lower measured reliability.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"automatable_flag_unproven","basis":["6 of 29 assay families are marked automatable now: meta_analysis, machine_learning, survival_analysis, pca, molecular_docking, differential_expression.","The flag is a rule over assay family and work type; validation begins with the first executed replication.","It inherits the 75.2% data_only agreement rate, because the flag requires the record to be analysis-only."],"claim":"Automatable now","gloss":"This flag marks assay families the rules classify as data-only. The first executed replication will validate it.","detail":"This flag marks families the rules consider replicable from data alone. Its validity depends on the analysis-only classification and will be measured through an executed replication.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"}],"confidence_policy":"band_with_measured_interval","confidence_contract":{"policy":"band_with_measured_interval","summary":"Confidence is reported as a BAND with a measured accuracy interval. The raw evidence score supplies monotone ordering. A fitted point estimate was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy.","evidence_score":"A monotone evidence score in [0,1] built from cue mass, axis separation and text coverage. Use it to order records. Interpret 0.85 as relative rank strength.","confidence_band":"low | medium | high. Consumers threshold on this value.","band_accuracy":"Wilson 95% interval on the measured agreement of the hand-judged records in this band.","calibrated_confidence":"WITHDRAWN. Reintroduction requires held-out evidence demonstrating reliable estimates across every bin."},"band_accuracy":{"low":{"n":210,"low":0.576,"band":"low","high":0.7046,"agree":135,"accuracy":0.6429},"high":{"n":76,"low":0.8903,"band":"high","high":0.9865,"agree":73,"accuracy":0.9605},"medium":{"n":104,"low":0.6795,"band":"medium","high":0.8397,"agree":80,"accuracy":0.7692}},"provider":"rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f","lexicon_id":"99e1195c7d6f","contract_published_at":"2026-10-23T12:25:29.022232+00:00","confidence_is_band":true,"confidence_is_probability":false,"decision_taxonomy":"two_way","decidable_fraction_two_way":0.8854,"decidable_fraction_two_way_low":0.8565,"decidable_fraction_two_way_high":0.9143,"decidable_fraction_three_way":0.8586,"decidable_fraction_three_way_low":0.8287,"decidable_fraction_three_way_high":0.8884,"decidable_population":5529,"validation_sample_size":438,"three_way_cost_fraction":0.0268,"three_way_cost_records":148,"decision_counts":{"automatable":230,"not_automatable":5299},"decision_split":{"automatable":{"count":230,"share":0.04159884246699222},"not_automatable":{"count":5299,"share":0.9584011575330078}},"diagnostic_work_type_counts":{"mixed":24,"physical":5275,"data_only":230}}}