{"data":{"sci_version": "1.2", "schema": "https://corpus.bntrg.co.uk/sci/1.0/sci.schema.json", "id": "pmid:36211821", "kind": "science-record", "revision": 5, "content_hash": "sha256:69973acaa40056adf4d9f73b8a799d57f508c03ef1dbb53b8e7594136b66b496", "created_at": "2026-11-01T18:15:32Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-01T22:50:17Z", "generator": {"name": "corpus-assay-engine", "run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01"}, "paper": {"state": "complete", "title": "Prognostic Signature Development on the Basis of Macrophage Phagocytosis-Mediated Oxidative Phosphorylation in Bladder Cancer.", "doi": "10.1155/2022/4754935", "pmid": "36211821", "authors": ["Genyi Qu", "Yong Xu", "Zhenquan Lu", "Haibo Nie", "Cheng Tang", "Jian Hou", "Xiangyang Wen"], "journal": "Oxidative medicine and cellular longevity", "year": 2022, "abstract": "Background: Macrophages are correlated with the occurrence and progression of bladder cancer (BCa). However, few research has focused on the predictive relevance of macrophage phagocytosis-mediated oxidative phosphorylation (MPOP) with BCa overall survival. Herein, we aimed to propose the targeted macrophage control based on MPOP as a treatment method for BCa immunotherapy.\nMethods: The mRNA expression data sets and clinical data of bladder cancer originated from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data set. A systematic study of several GEO data sets found differentially expressed macrophage phagocytosis regulators (DE-MPR) between BCa and normal tissues. To discover overall survival-associated DE-MPR and develop prognostic gene signature with performance validated based on receiver operating curves and Kaplan-Meier curves, researchers used univariate and Lasso Cox regression analysis (ROC). External validation was done with GSE13057 and GSE69795. To clarify its molecular mechanism and immune relevance, GO/KEGG enrichment analysis and tumor immune analysis were used. To find independent bladder cancer prognostic variables, researchers employed multivariate Cox regression analysis. Finally, using TCGA data set, a predictive nomogram was built.\nResults: In BCa, a four-gene signature of oxidative phosphorylation composed of PTPN6, IKZF3, HDLBP, and EMC1 was found to predict overall survival. With the MPOP feature, the ROC curve showed that TCGA data set and the external validation data set performed better in predicting overall survival than the traditional AJCC stage. The four-gene signature can identify cancers from normal tissue and separate patients into the high-risk and low-risk groups with different overall survival rates. The four MPOP-gene signature was an independent predictive factor for BCa. In predicting overall survival, a nomogram integrating genetic and clinical prognostic variables outperformed AJCC staging. Multiple oncological features and invasion-associated pathways were identified in the high-risk group, which were also correlated with significantly lower levels of immune cell infiltration.\nConclusion: This paper found the MPOP-feature gene and developed a predictive nomogram capable of accurately predicting bladder cancer overall survival. The above discoveries can contribute to the development of personalized treatments and medical decisions.", "claims": [{"id": "claim-method", "statement": "To discover overall survival-associated DE-MPR and develop prognostic gene signature with performance validated based on receiver operating curves and Kaplan-Meier curves, researchers used univariate and Lasso Cox regression analysis (ROC).", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:36211821", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 2", "quote": "To discover overall survival-associated DE-MPR and develop prognostic gene signature with performance validated based on receiver operating curves and Kaplan-Meier curves, researchers used univariate and Lasso Cox regression analysis (ROC)."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-data-access", "statement": "All generated as well as analyzed data in the present research are contained in this manuscript.", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:36211821", "locator": "sections[24] \"Data Availability\" paragraph 2", "quote": "All generated as well as analyzed data in the present research are contained in this manuscript."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-target-result", "statement": "In BCa, a four-gene signature of oxidative phosphorylation composed of PTPN6, IKZF3, HDLBP, and EMC1 was found to predict overall survival.", "kind": "qualitative", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:36211821", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "In BCa, a four-gene signature of oxidative phosphorylation composed of PTPN6, IKZF3, HDLBP, and EMC1 was found to predict overall survival."}], "state": "complete"}], "gaps": []}, "experiment": {"state": "complete", "objective": "In BCa, a four-gene signature of oxidative phosphorylation composed of PTPN6, IKZF3, HDLBP, and EMC1 was found to predict overall survival.", "steps": [{"id": "read_published_estimate", "order": 1, "name": "Read the published estimate from the source", "kind": "other", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The claim, method and evidence span published with the source article.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["source:pmid:36211821"], "outputs": ["the published estimate and its evidence"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "obtain_source_data", "order": 2, "name": "Obtain the source data from the named repository", "kind": "data-preparation", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The GEO series accession resolves and its sample accessions are listed. This lane did not download the dataset or read its licence.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE13507"], "outputs": ["the source data with its repository provenance"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "run_analysis", "order": 3, "name": "Run the published analysis", "kind": "analysis", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "Apply the paper's statistical method to the resolved series and compare the result with the published target.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE13507"], "outputs": ["the replicated result and its comparison"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}], "materials": [], "instruments": [], "reagents": [], "conditions": {}, "gaps": []}, "data": {"state": "partial", "assets": [{"id": "source:pmid:36211821", "role": "manuscript", "format": "xml", "media_type": "application/xml", "uri": "https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/4754935", "sha256": 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The citation term of the ranking is inert here, and the shortlist is ordered by publication type alone.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"abstract_absent","basis":["1,667 of 5,529 records (30.2%) carry no abstract at all."],"claim":"Evidence base for classification","gloss":"Some records contain a title and publication type only, defining the available classification evidence.","detail":"Where the mirror contains a title and publication types only, those fields define the classifier evidence. A methods section is required for fuller automated and human review.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"},{"code":"classifier_agreement_measured","basis":["Published two-way decision agreement 77.7% (310 of 399 decidable records) from a stratified hand-check of 438 real records.","Three-way diagnostic agreement 73.9% (288 of 390 decidable records).","data_only agreement 75.2% (100 of 133 decidable).","48 record(s) could not be decided from title and abstract and were excluded from the denominator.","56 analysis-only records were published under another work type, so the data_only share is not an upper bound."],"claim":"Published automatable decision","gloss":"This figure has been checked against a human reading the same papers, so we know how often it is right.","detail":"The published automatable / not-automatable distribution comes from a rule-based classifier that was hand-checked against a fixed ground-truth definition. The agreement rates below are measured, not estimated. The three-way work type remains a diagnostic and is reported separately.","status":"measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"llm_comparison_not_measured","basis":["rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f produced 5,529 of 5,529 classifications.","Measured on 438 labelled records; these are RULE-BASED figures, not model results."],"claim":"Rule-based versus LLM agreement","gloss":"Every number here is the rule engine’s own. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","detail":"The published two-way decision agreed with a human reading on 310 of 399 decidable records (77.7%). The diagnostic three-way label agreed on 288 of 390 decidable records (73.9%). Every percentage in this run belongs to the rule engine. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","status":"not_measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"confidence_is_a_band","basis":["low band: 135 of 210 hand-judged records were correct, 64.3% [57.6, 70.5] (95% CI).","medium band: 80 of 104 hand-judged records were correct, 76.9% [68.0, 84.0] (95% CI).","high band: 73 of 76 hand-judged records were correct, 96.0% [89.0, 98.7] (95% CI).","A fitted calibrated probability was built, measured and withdrawn: it overstated held-out accuracy and reorders nothing."],"claim":"Confidence band and evidence score","gloss":"The confidence band carries a measured accuracy interval; 0.85 represents relative rank strength.","detail":"Confidence on this run is a BAND plus its measured accuracy interval. The number stored alongside each record is a monotone evidence score that orders records; 0.85 represents relative rank strength. A fitted probability was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy. Threshold on the band.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"three_way_split_is_diagnostic","basis":["The corpus is published at the two-way decision: automatable or not-automatable. The three-way split (data_only / physical / mixed) is published as a diagnostic with its measured reliability attached, not as a claim, because the rule engine's `mixed` call cannot be defended.","The engine called 22 record(s) mixed; 10 matched the human judgement (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9-65.3).","The engine's `mixed` call is right on 10/22 hand-judged records (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9%-65.3%); a constant `physical` guess scores 36.4%.","The engine's `mixed` call does not reliably beat a constant `physical` guess on the hand-judged records it labels mixed.","The sign of that difference flips between two independent samples, so the three-way refinement is not demonstrably informative.","The mixed stratum contributes a disproportionate share of errors relative to its size.","At title-only depth the physical/mixed split collapses: a title says that work was done, not whether it was also analysed."],"claim":"The published decision is two-way","gloss":"The three-way split is shown for diagnosis only. The published split is two ways.","detail":"Count and filter the corpus on automatable versus not-automatable. The data_only / physical / mixed split remains an internal engine diagnostic because the mixed call has lower measured reliability.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"automatable_flag_unproven","basis":["6 of 29 assay families are marked automatable now: meta_analysis, machine_learning, survival_analysis, pca, molecular_docking, differential_expression.","The flag is a rule over assay family and work type; validation begins with the first executed replication.","It inherits the 75.2% data_only agreement rate, because the flag requires the record to be analysis-only."],"claim":"Automatable now","gloss":"This flag marks assay families the rules classify as data-only. The first executed replication will validate it.","detail":"This flag marks families the rules consider replicable from data alone. Its validity depends on the analysis-only classification and will be measured through an executed replication.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"}],"confidence_policy":"band_with_measured_interval","confidence_contract":{"policy":"band_with_measured_interval","summary":"Confidence is reported as a BAND with a measured accuracy interval. The raw evidence score supplies monotone ordering. A fitted point estimate was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy.","evidence_score":"A monotone evidence score in [0,1] built from cue mass, axis separation and text coverage. Use it to order records. Interpret 0.85 as relative rank strength.","confidence_band":"low | medium | high. Consumers threshold on this value.","band_accuracy":"Wilson 95% interval on the measured agreement of the hand-judged records in this band.","calibrated_confidence":"WITHDRAWN. Reintroduction requires held-out evidence demonstrating reliable estimates across every bin."},"band_accuracy":{"low":{"n":210,"low":0.576,"band":"low","high":0.7046,"agree":135,"accuracy":0.6429},"high":{"n":76,"low":0.8903,"band":"high","high":0.9865,"agree":73,"accuracy":0.9605},"medium":{"n":104,"low":0.6795,"band":"medium","high":0.8397,"agree":80,"accuracy":0.7692}},"provider":"rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f","lexicon_id":"99e1195c7d6f","contract_published_at":"2026-10-23T12:25:29.022232+00:00","confidence_is_band":true,"confidence_is_probability":false,"decision_taxonomy":"two_way","decidable_fraction_two_way":0.8854,"decidable_fraction_two_way_low":0.8565,"decidable_fraction_two_way_high":0.9143,"decidable_fraction_three_way":0.8586,"decidable_fraction_three_way_low":0.8287,"decidable_fraction_three_way_high":0.8884,"decidable_population":5529,"validation_sample_size":438,"three_way_cost_fraction":0.0268,"three_way_cost_records":148,"decision_counts":{"automatable":230,"not_automatable":5299},"decision_split":{"automatable":{"count":230,"share":0.04159884246699222},"not_automatable":{"count":5299,"share":0.9584011575330078}},"diagnostic_work_type_counts":{"mixed":24,"physical":5275,"data_only":230}}}