{"data":{"sci_version": "1.2", "schema": "https://corpus.bntrg.co.uk/sci/1.0/sci.schema.json", "id": "pmid:39050860", "kind": "science-record", "revision": 4, "content_hash": "sha256:2078c71a8b6cc85f39ffc3b6f8d9cd60dbe4dd3d2e3d353eaaf9258b06a814e2", "created_at": "2026-11-01T20:29:07Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-01T22:54:45Z", "generator": {"name": "corpus-assay-engine", "run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01"}, "paper": {"state": "complete", "title": "Identification of core genes in intervertebral disc degeneration using bioinformatics and machine learning algorithms.", "doi": "10.3389/fimmu.2024.1401957", "pmid": "39050860", "authors": ["Hao Zhang", "Shengbo Shi", "Xingxing Huang", "Changsheng Gong", "Zijing Zhang", "Zetian Zhao", "Junxiao Gao", "Meng Zhang", "Xiaobing Yu"], "journal": "Frontiers in immunology", "year": 2024, "abstract": "Background: Intervertebral Disc Degeneration (IDD) is a major cause of lower back pain and a significant global health issue. However, the specific mechanisms of IDD remain unclear. This study aims to identify key genes and pathways associated with IDD using bioinformatics and machine learning algorithms.\nMethods: Gene expression profiles, including those from 35 LDH patients and 43 healthy volunteers, were downloaded from the GEO database (GSE124272, GSE150408, GSE23130, GSE153761). After merging four microarray datasets, differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were selected for GO and KEGG pathway enrichment analysis. Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA) was then applied to the merged dataset to identify relevant modules and intersect with DEGs to discover candidate genes with diagnostic value. A LASSO model was established to select appropriate genes, and ROC curves were drawn to elucidate the diagnostic value of genetic markers. A Protein-Protein Interaction (PPI) network was constructed and visualized to determine central genes, followed by external validation using qRT-PCR.\nResults: Differential analysis of the preprocessed dataset identified 244 genes, including 183 upregulated and 61 downregulated genes. WGCNA analysis revealed the most relevant module intersecting with DEGs, yielding 9 candidate genes. The lasso-cox method was used for regression analysis, ultimately identifying 6 genes: ASPH, CDC42EP3, FOSL2, IL1R1, NFKBIZ, TCF7L2. A Protein-Protein Interaction (PPI) network created with GENEMANIA identified IL1R1 and TCF7L2 as central genes.\nConclusion: Our study shows that IL1R1 and TCF7L2 are the core genes of IDD, offering new insights into the pathogenesis and therapeutic development of IDD.", "claims": [{"id": "claim-method", "statement": "Differential analysis was conducted using the Limma R package, with |log2FC| > 1.3 and p < 0.05 set as the criteria for selecting differentially expressed genes (DEGs).", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:39050860", "locator": "sections[4] \"Selection of differentially expressed genes\" paragraph 2", "quote": "Differential analysis was conducted using the Limma R package, with |log2FC| > 1.3 and p < 0.05 set as the criteria for selecting differentially expressed genes (DEGs)."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-data-access", "statement": "The datasets presented in this study can be found in online repositories. The names of the repository/repositories and accession number(s) can be found in the article/supplementary material.", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:39050860", "locator": "sections[23] \"Data availability statement\" paragraph 2", "quote": "The datasets presented in this study can be found in online repositories. The names of the repository/repositories and accession number(s) can be found in the article/supplementary material."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-target-result", "statement": "Six characteristic genes were identified by lasso-cox regression, and IL1R1 and TCF7L2 were subsequently identified as the core genes.", "kind": "quantitative", "target": {"value": 5.0, "unit": "fold change", "tolerance": null, "source": "A 5-fold cross-validation was utilized to determine the optimal model, selecting a Lambda value of 0.0462682649698763, ultimately identifying 6 genes: ASPH, CDC42EP3, FOSL2, IL1R1, NFKBIZ, TCF7L2 (see Figures 4A, B )."}, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:39050860", "locator": "sections[17] \"Identification of characteristic genes and application of machine learning algorithms\" paragraph 2", "quote": "A 5-fold cross-validation was utilized to determine the optimal model, selecting a Lambda value of 0.0462682649698763, ultimately identifying 6 genes: ASPH, CDC42EP3, FOSL2, IL1R1, NFKBIZ, TCF7L2 (see Figures 4A, B )."}, {"asset": "source:pmid:39050860", "locator": "sections[18] \"Construction of PPI networks to identify core genes\" paragraph 2", "quote": "Through a comprehensive analysis of the PPI network, IL1R1 and TCF7L2 were identified as the final core genes of this study."}], "state": "complete"}], "gaps": []}, "experiment": {"state": "complete", "objective": "Six characteristic genes were identified by lasso-cox regression, and IL1R1 and TCF7L2 were subsequently identified as the core genes.", "steps": [{"id": "read_published_estimate", "order": 1, "name": "Read the published estimate from the source", "kind": "other", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The claim, method and evidence span published with the source article.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["source:pmid:39050860"], "outputs": ["the published estimate and its evidence"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "obtain_source_data", "order": 2, "name": "Obtain the source data from the named repository", "kind": "data-preparation", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The GEO series accession resolves and its sample accessions are listed. This lane did not download the dataset or read its licence.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE124272"], "outputs": ["the source data with its repository provenance"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "run_analysis", "order": 3, "name": "Run the published analysis", "kind": "analysis", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "Apply the paper's statistical method to the resolved series and compare the result with the published target.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE124272"], "outputs": ["the replicated result and its comparison"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}], "materials": [], "instruments": [], "reagents": [], "conditions": {}, "gaps": []}, "data": {"state": "partial", "assets": [{"id": "source:pmid:39050860", "role": "manuscript", "format": "xml", "media_type": "application/xml", "uri": "https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2024.1401957", "sha256": "sha256:2b82a6fb004ef9ff43722ef84900415b47af29ab50b9c76cb5b90ce5d7dff3a2", "bytes": 26554, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "10.3389/fimmu.2024.1401957", "version": null, "note": "Full article fetched from PMC; the checksum covers the rendered section body, not the original XML bytes.", "structure": {"pmcid": "PMC11266004", "source": "europe_pmc_fulltext", "coverage": "whole_body_without_references", "text_hash_scope": "rendered_section_body"}}, {"id": "data:geo:GSE124272", "role": "raw", "format": "geo-series", "media_type": "application/vnd.ncbi.geo-series+json", "uri": "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=GSE124272", "sha256": null, "bytes": null, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "GSE124272", "version": null, "note": "The datasets presented in this study can be found in online repositories. 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No tolerance is published because the paper states none."}], "gaps": ["method.reader_differs_from_extractor"]}, "capability": {"state": "complete", "requirements": [{"capability_id": "capability:computational_analysis", "label": "Computational analysis platform", "assay_families": ["meta_analysis", "machine_learning", "survival_analysis", "statistical_regression", "pca", "molecular_docking", "network_analysis", "differential_expression", "gwas"], "availability_state": "owned", "tier_unlocked": "R1", "candidate": "Automated Assays Laravel application and simulated adapters"}], "gaps": []}, "readiness": {"state": "complete", "tier": "R1", "blocking_axis": "none", "blocked_on": "nothing:replicable_now", "axes": {"method": {"tier": "R1", "expressible": true, "required_operations": ["normalise_counts", "differential_expression_fit", "fdr_bh"], "missing_operations": [], "basis": "The paper names the method it used and the corpus's method extractor maps it onto the DSL catalogue: limma_voom."}, "capability": {"tier": "R1", "capability_id": "capability:computational_analysis", "availability_state": "owned", "basis": "The computational analysis is owned. 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No dataset was downloaded and no licence was read."}}, "can_run": {"dsl_operations": ["normalise_counts", "differential_expression_fit", "fdr_bh"], "assets": ["source:pmid:39050860", "data:geo:GSE124272"], "steps": ["run_analysis"]}, "must_build": {"dsl_operations": [], "converters": [], "readers": [], "capabilities": [], "data_gaps": ["data:geo:GSE124272"]}, "gaps": []}, "review": {"state": "partial", "machine_critique": {"kind": "extraction_review", "reader": {"model": "MiniMax-M3.1-Flash", "provider": "minimax", "provider_family": "minimax", "read_at": "2026-11-01T19:25:07Z", "independence": "single_reader"}, "evidence_check": {"method": "verbatim", "availability": "verbatim"}, "calls": 5, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 7791, "completion_tokens": 2515, "cached_tokens": 256}}, "human_critique": null, "stages": [{"id": "extraction", "state": "complete", "reader": "MiniMax-M3.1-Flash", "provider": "minimax"}], "gaps": ["review.independent_reader", "review.machine_critique", "review.human_critique"]}, "execution": {"state": "absent", "status": "not_run", "mode": null, "runs": [], "gaps": ["execution.not_run"]}, "provenance": {"entities": [{"id": "pmid:39050860", "type": "paper", "label": "pmid:39050860"}, {"id": "source:pmid:39050860", "type": "manuscript", "label": "PMID 39050860 full text"}, {"id": "data:geo:GSE124272", "type": "dataset", "label": "GEO GSE124272"}], "activities": [{"id": "activity-reading-sci-2026-11-01", "type": "classification", "used": [{"id": "pmid:39050860", "type": "paper", "label": "pmid:39050860"}, {"id": "source:pmid:39050860", "type": "manuscript", "label": "PMID 39050860 full text"}, {"id": "data:geo:GSE124272", "type": "dataset", "label": "GEO GSE124272"}], "agent": "agent:corpus-assay-engine"}, {"id": "activity-read-39050860", "type": "extraction", "used": ["source:pmid:39050860"], "agent": "agent:minimax-reader"}, {"id": "activity-resolve-GSE124272", "type": "accession_resolution", "used": ["data:geo:GSE124272"], "agent": "agent:corpus-assay-engine"}], "agents": [{"id": "agent:corpus-assay-engine", "type": "software", "label": "Corpus assay engine"}, {"id": "agent:minimax-reader", "type": "software", "label": "MiniMax literature reader"}], "source_run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01", "dsl_catalogue_fingerprint": "343fb30756ba6ec3", "capability_table_fingerprint": "2cb3e42f047d2ecf", "snapshot_id": "ba34b49490d9bfaf"}, "lineage": {"parent_id": "pmid:39050860", "parent_hash": "sha256:3dc5df8bbf9e4a588cdb75d17c1603133012e96fe1da741965d1677238eadf81", "fork_of": null, "generation": 3}, "gaps": ["asset:data:geo:GSE124272 licence not read", "asset:data:geo:GSE124272 not downloaded", "asset:data:geo:GSE150408 licence not read", "asset:data:geo:GSE150408 not downloaded", "asset:data:geo:GSE153761 licence not read", "asset:data:geo:GSE153761 not downloaded", "asset:data:geo:GSE23130 licence not read", "asset:data:geo:GSE23130 not downloaded", "execution.not_run", "method.reader_differs_from_extractor", "review.human_critique", "review.independent_reader", "review.machine_critique"], "assays": [{"role": "data_generation", "definition_id": "microarray", "definition_version": "99e1195c7d6f", "definition_digest": null, "required_operations": [], "support_state": "partial", "source_hashes": {"assay_lexicon": "99e1195c7d6f"}, "confidence": 0.93, "evidence": ["08, GSE23130, GSE153761). After merging four microarray datasets, differentially expressed genes (DE"], "order_basis": "paper_text_order:582", "id": "assay:1"}, {"role": "data_generation", "definition_id": "cell_culture", "definition_version": "99e1195c7d6f", "definition_digest": null, "required_operations": [], "support_state": "partial", "source_hashes": {"assay_lexicon": "99e1195c7d6f"}, "confidence": 0.77, "evidence": ["ne serum and 1% penicillin streptomycin, and cultured in a co2 incubator. 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At the evidence floor the work type comes from title framing and a fixed prior, not from anything in the paper, so the published work-type split should be read as a rough triage signal rather than a measured distribution. The impact is bounded but not removed: since 2026-10-23 the engine excludes floor-confidence records from the shortlist entirely and publishes them separately as held out, so the recommendation is unaffected even though the census is.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"runtime_is_modelled","basis":["Runtime is summed from published per-assay hour figures. Timing awaits the first executed replication.","4,407 of 5,529 records (79.7%) model to 0.00 hours because no assay was matched, which the ranking then reads as \"cheapest\".","0 of 10 shortlisted records carry a 0.00-hour estimate."],"claim":"Estimated replication runtime","gloss":"The hour figures are estimates built from assay mentions; timing awaits the first executed replication.","detail":"The hour figures are a cost model derived from the bench steps implied by each matched assay family. The first executed replication will supply measured timing. Records without an assay match currently receive a zero-hour model value.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"signal_score_without_citations","basis":["5,529 of 5,529 records (100.0%) have no citation count from the source metadata."],"claim":"Signal score","gloss":"The signal score uses publication-type weight because the mirror supplied zero citation counts.","detail":"The source supplied no citation counts for any record in this run, so the signal score is publication-type weight only. The citation term of the ranking is inert here, and the shortlist is ordered by publication type alone.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"abstract_absent","basis":["1,667 of 5,529 records (30.2%) carry no abstract at all."],"claim":"Evidence base for classification","gloss":"Some records contain a title and publication type only, defining the available classification evidence.","detail":"Where the mirror contains a title and publication types only, those fields define the classifier evidence. A methods section is required for fuller automated and human review.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"},{"code":"classifier_agreement_measured","basis":["Published two-way decision agreement 77.7% (310 of 399 decidable records) from a stratified hand-check of 438 real records.","Three-way diagnostic agreement 73.9% (288 of 390 decidable records).","data_only agreement 75.2% (100 of 133 decidable).","48 record(s) could not be decided from title and abstract and were excluded from the denominator.","56 analysis-only records were published under another work type, so the data_only share is not an upper bound."],"claim":"Published automatable decision","gloss":"This figure has been checked against a human reading the same papers, so we know how often it is right.","detail":"The published automatable / not-automatable distribution comes from a rule-based classifier that was hand-checked against a fixed ground-truth definition. The agreement rates below are measured, not estimated. The three-way work type remains a diagnostic and is reported separately.","status":"measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"llm_comparison_not_measured","basis":["rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f produced 5,529 of 5,529 classifications.","Measured on 438 labelled records; these are RULE-BASED figures, not model results."],"claim":"Rule-based versus LLM agreement","gloss":"Every number here is the rule engine’s own. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","detail":"The published two-way decision agreed with a human reading on 310 of 399 decidable records (77.7%). The diagnostic three-way label agreed on 288 of 390 decidable records (73.9%). Every percentage in this run belongs to the rule engine. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","status":"not_measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"confidence_is_a_band","basis":["low band: 135 of 210 hand-judged records were correct, 64.3% [57.6, 70.5] (95% CI).","medium band: 80 of 104 hand-judged records were correct, 76.9% [68.0, 84.0] (95% CI).","high band: 73 of 76 hand-judged records were correct, 96.0% [89.0, 98.7] (95% CI).","A fitted calibrated probability was built, measured and withdrawn: it overstated held-out accuracy and reorders nothing."],"claim":"Confidence band and evidence score","gloss":"The confidence band carries a measured accuracy interval; 0.85 represents relative rank strength.","detail":"Confidence on this run is a BAND plus its measured accuracy interval. The number stored alongside each record is a monotone evidence score that orders records; 0.85 represents relative rank strength. A fitted probability was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy. Threshold on the band.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"three_way_split_is_diagnostic","basis":["The corpus is published at the two-way decision: automatable or not-automatable. The three-way split (data_only / physical / mixed) is published as a diagnostic with its measured reliability attached, not as a claim, because the rule engine's `mixed` call cannot be defended.","The engine called 22 record(s) mixed; 10 matched the human judgement (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9-65.3).","The engine's `mixed` call is right on 10/22 hand-judged records (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9%-65.3%); a constant `physical` guess scores 36.4%.","The engine's `mixed` call does not reliably beat a constant `physical` guess on the hand-judged records it labels mixed.","The sign of that difference flips between two independent samples, so the three-way refinement is not demonstrably informative.","The mixed stratum contributes a disproportionate share of errors relative to its size.","At title-only depth the physical/mixed split collapses: a title says that work was done, not whether it was also analysed."],"claim":"The published decision is two-way","gloss":"The three-way split is shown for diagnosis only. The published split is two ways.","detail":"Count and filter the corpus on automatable versus not-automatable. The data_only / physical / mixed split remains an internal engine diagnostic because the mixed call has lower measured reliability.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"automatable_flag_unproven","basis":["6 of 29 assay families are marked automatable now: meta_analysis, machine_learning, survival_analysis, pca, molecular_docking, differential_expression.","The flag is a rule over assay family and work type; validation begins with the first executed replication.","It inherits the 75.2% data_only agreement rate, because the flag requires the record to be analysis-only."],"claim":"Automatable now","gloss":"This flag marks assay families the rules classify as data-only. The first executed replication will validate it.","detail":"This flag marks families the rules consider replicable from data alone. Its validity depends on the analysis-only classification and will be measured through an executed replication.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"}],"confidence_policy":"band_with_measured_interval","confidence_contract":{"policy":"band_with_measured_interval","summary":"Confidence is reported as a BAND with a measured accuracy interval. The raw evidence score supplies monotone ordering. A fitted point estimate was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy.","evidence_score":"A monotone evidence score in [0,1] built from cue mass, axis separation and text coverage. Use it to order records. Interpret 0.85 as relative rank strength.","confidence_band":"low | medium | high. Consumers threshold on this value.","band_accuracy":"Wilson 95% interval on the measured agreement of the hand-judged records in this band.","calibrated_confidence":"WITHDRAWN. Reintroduction requires held-out evidence demonstrating reliable estimates across every bin."},"band_accuracy":{"low":{"n":210,"low":0.576,"band":"low","high":0.7046,"agree":135,"accuracy":0.6429},"high":{"n":76,"low":0.8903,"band":"high","high":0.9865,"agree":73,"accuracy":0.9605},"medium":{"n":104,"low":0.6795,"band":"medium","high":0.8397,"agree":80,"accuracy":0.7692}},"provider":"rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f","lexicon_id":"99e1195c7d6f","contract_published_at":"2026-10-23T12:25:29.022232+00:00","confidence_is_band":true,"confidence_is_probability":false,"decision_taxonomy":"two_way","decidable_fraction_two_way":0.8854,"decidable_fraction_two_way_low":0.8565,"decidable_fraction_two_way_high":0.9143,"decidable_fraction_three_way":0.8586,"decidable_fraction_three_way_low":0.8287,"decidable_fraction_three_way_high":0.8884,"decidable_population":5529,"validation_sample_size":438,"three_way_cost_fraction":0.0268,"three_way_cost_records":148,"decision_counts":{"automatable":230,"not_automatable":5299},"decision_split":{"automatable":{"count":230,"share":0.04159884246699222},"not_automatable":{"count":5299,"share":0.9584011575330078}},"diagnostic_work_type_counts":{"mixed":24,"physical":5275,"data_only":230}}}