{"data":{"sci_version": "1.2", "schema": "https://corpus.bntrg.co.uk/sci/1.0/sci.schema.json", "id": "pmid:40151638", "kind": "science-record", "revision": 3, "content_hash": "sha256:f646695ca591756412bba381d31ead2eac5ff7faf78960f1f828d34e85f3a323", "created_at": "2026-11-01T20:30:20Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-01T22:13:49Z", "generator": {"name": "corpus-assay-engine", "run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01"}, "paper": {"state": "complete", "title": "Unraveling the PANoptosis Landscape in Osteosarcoma: A Single-Cell Sequencing and Machine Learning Approach to Prognostic Modeling and Tumor Microenvironment Analysis.", "doi": "10.1155/ijog/6915258", "pmid": "40151638", "authors": ["Xue-Yang Gui", "Jun-Fei Wang", "Yi Zhang", "Zi-Yang Tang", "Ze-Zhang Zhu"], "journal": "International journal of genomics", "year": 2025, "abstract": "Background: Osteosarcoma (OS) is a highly aggressive bone malignancy prevalent in children and adolescents, characterized by poor prognosis and limited therapeutic options. The tumor microenvironment (TME) and cell death mechanisms such as PANoptosis-comprising pyroptosis, apoptosis, and necroptosis-play critical roles in tumor progression and immune evasion. This study is aimed at exploring the PANoptosis landscape in OS using single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) and at developing a robust prognostic model using machine learning algorithms. Methods: Single-cell sequencing data for OS were obtained from the GEO database (GSE162454), and bulk transcriptome data were sourced from the TARGET and GEO databases. Data integration, dimensionality reduction, and cell clustering were performed using UMAP and t-SNE. PANoptosis-related genes were identified, and their expression profiles were used to score and categorize cells into PANoptosis-high and PANoptosis-low groups. A comprehensive prognostic model was constructed using 101 machine learning algorithms, including CoxBoost, to predict patient outcomes. The model's performance was validated across multiple cohorts, and its association with the mutation landscape and TME was evaluated. Results: The scRNA-seq analysis revealed 14 distinct cell clusters within OS, with significant PANoptosis activation observed in cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), myeloid cells, osteoblasts, and osteoclasts. Differentially expressed genes between PANoptosis-high and PANoptosis-low groups were identified, and cell communication analysis showed enhanced interaction patterns in the PANoptosis-high group. The CoxBoost model, selected from 101 machine learning algorithms, exhibited stable prognostic performance across the TARGET and GEO cohorts, effectively stratifying patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. The high-risk group displayed worse survival outcomes, higher mutation frequencies, and distinct immune infiltration patterns, correlating with poorer prognosis and increased tumor purity. Conclusion: This study provides novel insights into the PANoptosis landscape in OS and presents a validated prognostic model for risk stratification. The integration of scRNA-seq data with machine learning approaches enhances our understanding of OS heterogeneity and its impact on patient prognosis, offering potential avenues for targeted therapeutic strategies. Further validation in clinical settings is warranted to confirm the model's utility in guiding personalized treatment for OS patients.", "claims": [{"id": "claim-method", "statement": "The results indicated that the CoxBoost model exhibited the most stable performance across the TARGET cohort, GSE16091 cohort, GSE21257 cohort, and GEO-total cohort and was therefore selected for subsequent analysis", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:40151638", "locator": "sections[12] \"3.2. Prognostic Model Construction for OS Using 101 Machine Learning Algorithms\" paragraph 2", "quote": "The results indicated that the CoxBoost model exhibited the most stable performance across the TARGET cohort, GSE16091 cohort, GSE21257 cohort, and GEO-total cohort and was therefore selected for subsequent analysis"}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-data-access", "statement": "The datasets analyzed in this study were downloaded and accessed from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/, with Accession GSE162454.", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:40151638", "locator": "sections[17] \"Data Availability Statement\" paragraph 2", "quote": "The datasets analyzed in this study were downloaded and accessed from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/, with Accession GSE162454."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-target-result", "statement": "The CoxBoost model, selected from 101 machine learning algorithms, exhibited stable prognostic performance across the TARGET and GEO cohorts, effectively stratifying patients into high-risk and low-risk groups.", "kind": "qualitative", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:40151638", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "The CoxBoost model, selected from 101 machine learning algorithms, exhibited stable prognostic performance across the TARGET and GEO cohorts, effectively stratifying patients into high-risk and low-risk groups."}, {"asset": "source:pmid:40151638", "locator": "sections[13] \"3.3. Clinical Validation of the CoxBoost Prognostic Model\" paragraph 2", "quote": "The ROC curves showed that the AUC values for the prognostic model remained consistently between 0.7 and 0.8 across the four cohorts, indicating good model stability"}], "state": "complete"}], "gaps": []}, "experiment": {"state": "complete", "objective": "The CoxBoost model, selected from 101 machine learning algorithms, exhibited stable prognostic performance across the TARGET and GEO cohorts, effectively stratifying patients into high-risk and low-risk groups.", "steps": [{"id": "read_published_estimate", "order": 1, "name": "Read the published estimate from the source", "kind": "other", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The claim, method and evidence span published with the source article.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["source:pmid:40151638"], "outputs": ["the published estimate and its evidence"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "obtain_source_data", "order": 2, "name": "Obtain the source data from the named repository", "kind": "data-preparation", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The GEO series accession resolves and its sample accessions are listed. This lane did not download the dataset or read its licence.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE16091"], "outputs": ["the source data with its repository provenance"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "run_analysis", "order": 3, "name": "Run the published analysis", "kind": "analysis", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "Apply the paper's statistical method to the resolved series and compare the result with the published target.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE16091"], "outputs": ["the replicated result and its comparison"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}], "materials": [], "instruments": [], "reagents": [], "conditions": {}, "gaps": []}, "data": {"state": "partial", "assets": [{"id": "source:pmid:40151638", "role": "manuscript", "format": "xml", "media_type": "application/xml", "uri": "https://doi.org/10.1155/ijog/6915258", "sha256": 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Records without an assay match currently receive a zero-hour model value.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"signal_score_without_citations","basis":["5,529 of 5,529 records (100.0%) have no citation count from the source metadata."],"claim":"Signal score","gloss":"The signal score uses publication-type weight because the mirror supplied zero citation counts.","detail":"The source supplied no citation counts for any record in this run, so the signal score is publication-type weight only. The citation term of the ranking is inert here, and the shortlist is ordered by publication type alone.","status":"unverified","severity":"high"},{"code":"abstract_absent","basis":["1,667 of 5,529 records (30.2%) carry no abstract at all."],"claim":"Evidence base for classification","gloss":"Some records contain a title and publication type only, defining the available classification evidence.","detail":"Where the mirror contains a title and publication types only, those fields define the classifier evidence. A methods section is required for fuller automated and human review.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"},{"code":"classifier_agreement_measured","basis":["Published two-way decision agreement 77.7% (310 of 399 decidable records) from a stratified hand-check of 438 real records.","Three-way diagnostic agreement 73.9% (288 of 390 decidable records).","data_only agreement 75.2% (100 of 133 decidable).","48 record(s) could not be decided from title and abstract and were excluded from the denominator.","56 analysis-only records were published under another work type, so the data_only share is not an upper bound."],"claim":"Published automatable decision","gloss":"This figure has been checked against a human reading the same papers, so we know how often it is right.","detail":"The published automatable / not-automatable distribution comes from a rule-based classifier that was hand-checked against a fixed ground-truth definition. The agreement rates below are measured, not estimated. The three-way work type remains a diagnostic and is reported separately.","status":"measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"llm_comparison_not_measured","basis":["rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f produced 5,529 of 5,529 classifications.","Measured on 438 labelled records; these are RULE-BASED figures, not model results."],"claim":"Rule-based versus LLM agreement","gloss":"Every number here is the rule engine’s own. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","detail":"The published two-way decision agreed with a human reading on 310 of 399 decidable records (77.7%). The diagnostic three-way label agreed on 288 of 390 decidable records (73.9%). Every percentage in this run belongs to the rule engine. Model comparison begins when a working API credential is connected and measured.","status":"not_measured","severity":"high"},{"code":"confidence_is_a_band","basis":["low band: 135 of 210 hand-judged records were correct, 64.3% [57.6, 70.5] (95% CI).","medium band: 80 of 104 hand-judged records were correct, 76.9% [68.0, 84.0] (95% CI).","high band: 73 of 76 hand-judged records were correct, 96.0% [89.0, 98.7] (95% CI).","A fitted calibrated probability was built, measured and withdrawn: it overstated held-out accuracy and reorders nothing."],"claim":"Confidence band and evidence score","gloss":"The confidence band carries a measured accuracy interval; 0.85 represents relative rank strength.","detail":"Confidence on this run is a BAND plus its measured accuracy interval. The number stored alongside each record is a monotone evidence score that orders records; 0.85 represents relative rank strength. A fitted probability was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy. Threshold on the band.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"three_way_split_is_diagnostic","basis":["The corpus is published at the two-way decision: automatable or not-automatable. The three-way split (data_only / physical / mixed) is published as a diagnostic with its measured reliability attached, not as a claim, because the rule engine's `mixed` call cannot be defended.","The engine called 22 record(s) mixed; 10 matched the human judgement (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9-65.3).","The engine's `mixed` call is right on 10/22 hand-judged records (45.5%, 95% CI 26.9%-65.3%); a constant `physical` guess scores 36.4%.","The engine's `mixed` call does not reliably beat a constant `physical` guess on the hand-judged records it labels mixed.","The sign of that difference flips between two independent samples, so the three-way refinement is not demonstrably informative.","The mixed stratum contributes a disproportionate share of errors relative to its size.","At title-only depth the physical/mixed split collapses: a title says that work was done, not whether it was also analysed."],"claim":"The published decision is two-way","gloss":"The three-way split is shown for diagnosis only. The published split is two ways.","detail":"Count and filter the corpus on automatable versus not-automatable. The data_only / physical / mixed split remains an internal engine diagnostic because the mixed call has lower measured reliability.","status":"measured","severity":"medium"},{"code":"automatable_flag_unproven","basis":["6 of 29 assay families are marked automatable now: meta_analysis, machine_learning, survival_analysis, pca, molecular_docking, differential_expression.","The flag is a rule over assay family and work type; validation begins with the first executed replication.","It inherits the 75.2% data_only agreement rate, because the flag requires the record to be analysis-only."],"claim":"Automatable now","gloss":"This flag marks assay families the rules classify as data-only. The first executed replication will validate it.","detail":"This flag marks families the rules consider replicable from data alone. Its validity depends on the analysis-only classification and will be measured through an executed replication.","status":"unverified","severity":"medium"}],"confidence_policy":"band_with_measured_interval","confidence_contract":{"policy":"band_with_measured_interval","summary":"Confidence is reported as a BAND with a measured accuracy interval. The raw evidence score supplies monotone ordering. A fitted point estimate was withdrawn after it overstated held-out accuracy.","evidence_score":"A monotone evidence score in [0,1] built from cue mass, axis separation and text coverage. Use it to order records. Interpret 0.85 as relative rank strength.","confidence_band":"low | medium | high. Consumers threshold on this value.","band_accuracy":"Wilson 95% interval on the measured agreement of the hand-judged records in this band.","calibrated_confidence":"WITHDRAWN. Reintroduction requires held-out evidence demonstrating reliable estimates across every bin."},"band_accuracy":{"low":{"n":210,"low":0.576,"band":"low","high":0.7046,"agree":135,"accuracy":0.6429},"high":{"n":76,"low":0.8903,"band":"high","high":0.9865,"agree":73,"accuracy":0.9605},"medium":{"n":104,"low":0.6795,"band":"medium","high":0.8397,"agree":80,"accuracy":0.7692}},"provider":"rule_based_v1+lex99e1195c7d6f","lexicon_id":"99e1195c7d6f","contract_published_at":"2026-10-23T12:25:29.022232+00:00","confidence_is_band":true,"confidence_is_probability":false,"decision_taxonomy":"two_way","decidable_fraction_two_way":0.8854,"decidable_fraction_two_way_low":0.8565,"decidable_fraction_two_way_high":0.9143,"decidable_fraction_three_way":0.8586,"decidable_fraction_three_way_low":0.8287,"decidable_fraction_three_way_high":0.8884,"decidable_population":5529,"validation_sample_size":438,"three_way_cost_fraction":0.0268,"three_way_cost_records":148,"decision_counts":{"automatable":230,"not_automatable":5299},"decision_split":{"automatable":{"count":230,"share":0.04159884246699222},"not_automatable":{"count":5299,"share":0.9584011575330078}},"diagnostic_work_type_counts":{"mixed":24,"physical":5275,"data_only":230}}}