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pmid:35530362

Distant Metastasis Pattern and Prognostic Prediction Model of Colorectal Cancer Patients Based on Big Data Mining.

Chuan Liu · Ting Wang · Jiahui Yang · Jixiang Zhang · Shuchun Wei · Yingyun Guo · Rong Yu · Zongbiao Tan · Shuo Wang · Weiguo Dong

Frontiers in oncology · 2022 doi:10.3389/fonc.2022.878805

Paper

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Experiment

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Data

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Analysis

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pmid:35530362
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2026-11-01T18:14:25Z
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title
Distant Metastasis Pattern and Prognostic Prediction Model of Colorectal Cancer Patients Based on Big Data Mining.
doi
10.3389/fonc.2022.878805
pmid
35530362
authors array · 10 items
[0]
Chuan Liu
[1]
Ting Wang
[2]
Jiahui Yang
[3]
Jixiang Zhang
[4]
Shuchun Wei
[5]
Yingyun Guo
[6]
Rong Yu
[7]
Zongbiao Tan
[8]
Shuo Wang
[9]
Weiguo Dong
journal
Frontiers in oncology
year
2022
abstract
Aims: This study aimed to investigate the distant metastasis pattern from newly diagnosed colorectal cancer (CRC) and also construct and validate a prognostic nomogram to predict both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of CRC patients with distant metastases. Methods: Primary CRC patients who were initially diagnosed from 2010 to 2016 in the SEER database were included in the analysis. The independent risk factors affecting the OS, CSS, all-cause mortality, and CRC-specific mortality of the patients were screened by the Cox regression and Fine-Gray competitive risk model. The nomogram models were constructed to predict the OS and CSS of the patients. The reliability and accuracy of the prediction model were evaluated by consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve. The gene chip GSE41258 was downloaded from the GEO database, and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened by the GEO2R online tool (p < 0.05, |logFC|>1.5). The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) Pathway and Gene Ontology (GO) annotation and String website were used for enrichment analysis and protein-protein interaction (PPI) analysis of DEGs, respectively, and Cytoscape software was used to construct PPI network and screen function modules and hub genes. Results: A total of 57,835 CRC patients, including 47,823 without distant metastases and 10,012 (17.31%) with metastases, were identified. Older age, unmarried status, poorly differentiated or undifferentiated grade, right colon site, larger tumor size, N2 stage, more metastatic sites, and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) might lead to poorer prognosis (all p < 0.01). The independent risk factors of OS and CSS were included to construct a prognosis prediction model for predicting OS and CSS in CRC patients with distant metastasis. C-index and calibration curve of the training group and validation group showed that the models had acceptable predictive performance and high calibration degree. Furthermore, by comparing CRC tissues with and without liver metastasis, 158 DEGs and top 10 hub genes were screened. Hub genes were mainly concentrated in liver function and coagulation function. Conclusion: The big data in the public database were counted and transformed into a prognostic evaluation tool that could be applied to the clinic, which has certain clinical significance for the formulation of the treatment plan and prognostic evaluation of CRC patients with distant metastasis.
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The multivariable Cox regression was obtained to identify covariates associated with increased all-cause mortality (ACM) using the significant factors (p < 0.05) in the univariate Cox regression model.
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sections[4] "2.2 Statistical Analysis" paragraph 2
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The multivariable Cox regression was obtained to identify covariates associated with increased all-cause mortality (ACM) using the significant factors (p < 0.05) in the univariate Cox regression model.
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Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).
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Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).
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Among 57,835 CRC patients, 10,012 (17.31%) had distant metastasis, and prognostic nomograms for OS and CSS were constructed and validated, while 158 DEGs and 10 hub genes were identified.
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A total of 57,835 CRC patients, including 47,823 without distant metastases and 10,012 (17.31%) with metastases, were identified.
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A total of 57,835 CRC patients, including 47,823 without distant metastases and 10,012 (17.31%) with metastases, were identified.
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The independent risk factors of OS and CSS were included to construct a prognosis prediction model for predicting OS and CSS in CRC patients with distant metastasis.
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Furthermore, by comparing CRC tissues with and without liver metastasis, 158 DEGs and top 10 hub genes were screened.
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Among 57,835 CRC patients, 10,012 (17.31%) had distant metastasis, and prognostic nomograms for OS and CSS were constructed and validated, while 158 DEGs and 10 hub genes were identified.
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Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).
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0.8
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log-rank
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network_analysis
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[0]
build_graph
[1]
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[2]
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[0]
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evidence object · 3 fields
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0.7
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contingency_analysis
specific
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label
Categorical (contingency table) analysis
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[0]
chi_square_test
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parameters object · 0 fields
data_shapes array · 1 item
[0]
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evidence object · 3 fields
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0.8
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chi-square
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target-published-estimate
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build_graph
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per cent
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null
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complete
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The published estimate as the reader quoted it from the paper. No tolerance is published because the paper states none.
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capability object · 3 fields
state
complete
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[0] object · 6 fields
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capability:computational_analysis
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[0]
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[4]
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[5]
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[8]
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candidate
Automated Assays Laravel application and simulated adapters
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readiness object · 8 fields
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complete
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nothing:replicable_now
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tier
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cox_ph
missing_operations array · 0 items
basis
The paper names the method it used and the corpus's method extractor maps it onto the DSL catalogue: cox_proportional_hazards.
capability object · 4 fields
tier
R1
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capability:computational_analysis
availability_state
owned
basis
The computational analysis is owned. The physical bench the paper used is not, so a physical validation cannot be run here.
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tier
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[0]
GSE41258
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[0]
GSE41258
statements array · 1 item
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Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).
basis
The paper names GSE41258 in Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and the accession resolves in the repository. No dataset was downloaded and no licence was read.
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dsl_operations array · 1 item
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cox_ph
assets array · 2 items
[0]
source:pmid:35530362
[1]
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capabilities array · 0 items
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[0]
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review object · 5 fields
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MiniMax-M3.1-Flash
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minimax
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minimax
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2026-11-01T17:45:10Z
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single_reader
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verbatim
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verbatim
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pmid:35530362
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paper
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pmid:35530362
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source:pmid:35530362
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manuscript
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PMID 35530362 full text
[2] object · 3 fields
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data:geo:GSE41258
type
dataset
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GEO GSE41258
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[0] object · 4 fields
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activity-reading-sci-2026-11-01
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classification
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pmid:35530362
type
paper
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pmid:35530362
[1] object · 3 fields
id
source:pmid:35530362
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manuscript
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PMID 35530362 full text
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data:geo:GSE41258
type
dataset
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GEO GSE41258
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agent:corpus-assay-engine
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extraction
used array · 1 item
[0]
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agent:minimax-reader
[2] object · 4 fields
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activity-resolve-GSE41258
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accession_resolution
used array · 1 item
[0]
data:geo:GSE41258
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agent:corpus-assay-engine
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agent:minimax-reader
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343fb30756ba6ec3
capability_table_fingerprint
2cb3e42f047d2ecf
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ba34b49490d9bfaf
lineage object · 4 fields
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pmid:35530362
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sha256:42ff073d43b07e082e1d7f11572fb7154853b34e57b5411575485b66d1c7e587
fork_of
null
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asset:data:geo:GSE41258 licence not read
[1]
asset:data:geo:GSE41258 not downloaded
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[3]
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[4]
review.independent_reader
[5]
review.machine_critique
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supported
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dsl_catalogue
f2132e96ae6c7a4e
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The multivariable Cox regression was obtained to identify covariates associated with increased all-cause mortality (ACM) using the significant factors (p < 0.05) in the univariate Cox regression model.
order_basis
analysis_only
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assay:1
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{"sci_version": "1.2", "schema": "https://corpus.bntrg.co.uk/sci/1.0/sci.schema.json", "id": "pmid:35530362", "kind": "science-record", "revision": 4, "content_hash": "sha256:bca18092c6f75aae4b6f44931a1a34afd37f2bbae571ca5746d4f284dc66451b", "created_at": "2026-11-01T18:14:25Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-01T22:06:29Z", "generator": {"name": "corpus-assay-engine", "run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01"}, "paper": {"state": "complete", "title": "Distant Metastasis Pattern and Prognostic Prediction Model of Colorectal Cancer Patients Based on Big Data Mining.", "doi": "10.3389/fonc.2022.878805", "pmid": "35530362", "authors": ["Chuan Liu", "Ting Wang", "Jiahui Yang", "Jixiang Zhang", "Shuchun Wei", "Yingyun Guo", "Rong Yu", "Zongbiao Tan", "Shuo Wang", "Weiguo Dong"], "journal": "Frontiers in oncology", "year": 2022, "abstract": "Aims: This study aimed to investigate the distant metastasis pattern from newly diagnosed colorectal cancer (CRC) and also construct and validate a prognostic nomogram to predict both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of CRC patients with distant metastases.\nMethods: Primary CRC patients who were initially diagnosed from 2010 to 2016 in the SEER database were included in the analysis. The independent risk factors affecting the OS, CSS, all-cause mortality, and CRC-specific mortality of the patients were screened by the Cox regression and Fine-Gray competitive risk model. The nomogram models were constructed to predict the OS and CSS of the patients. The reliability and accuracy of the prediction model were evaluated by consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve. The gene chip GSE41258 was downloaded from the GEO database, and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened by the GEO2R online tool (p < 0.05, |logFC|>1.5). The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) Pathway and Gene Ontology (GO) annotation and String website were used for enrichment analysis and protein-protein interaction (PPI) analysis of DEGs, respectively, and Cytoscape software was used to construct PPI network and screen function modules and hub genes.\nResults: A total of 57,835 CRC patients, including 47,823 without distant metastases and 10,012 (17.31%) with metastases, were identified. Older age, unmarried status, poorly differentiated or undifferentiated grade, right colon site, larger tumor size, N2 stage, more metastatic sites, and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) might lead to poorer prognosis (all p < 0.01). The independent risk factors of OS and CSS were included to construct a prognosis prediction model for predicting OS and CSS in CRC patients with distant metastasis. C-index and calibration curve of the training group and validation group showed that the models had acceptable predictive performance and high calibration degree. Furthermore, by comparing CRC tissues with and without liver metastasis, 158 DEGs and top 10 hub genes were screened. Hub genes were mainly concentrated in liver function and coagulation function.\nConclusion: The big data in the public database were counted and transformed into a prognostic evaluation tool that could be applied to the clinic, which has certain clinical significance for the formulation of the treatment plan and prognostic evaluation of CRC patients with distant metastasis.", "claims": [{"id": "claim-method", "statement": "The multivariable Cox regression was obtained to identify covariates associated with increased all-cause mortality (ACM) using the significant factors (p < 0.05) in the univariate Cox regression model.", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:35530362", "locator": "sections[4] \"2.2 Statistical Analysis\" paragraph 2", "quote": "The multivariable Cox regression was obtained to identify covariates associated with increased all-cause mortality (ACM) using the significant factors (p < 0.05) in the univariate Cox regression model."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-data-access", "statement": "Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:35530362", "locator": "sections[20] \"Data Availability Statement\" paragraph 2", "quote": "Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/)."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-target-result", "statement": "Among 57,835 CRC patients, 10,012 (17.31%) had distant metastasis, and prognostic nomograms for OS and CSS were constructed and validated, while 158 DEGs and 10 hub genes were identified.", "kind": "quantitative", "target": {"value": 17.31, "unit": "per cent", "tolerance": null, "source": "A total of 57,835 CRC patients, including 47,823 without distant metastases and 10,012 (17.31%) with metastases, were identified."}, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:35530362", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "A total of 57,835 CRC patients, including 47,823 without distant metastases and 10,012 (17.31%) with metastases, were identified."}, {"asset": "source:pmid:35530362", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "The independent risk factors of OS and CSS were included to construct a prognosis prediction model for predicting OS and CSS in CRC patients with distant metastasis."}, {"asset": "source:pmid:35530362", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "Furthermore, by comparing CRC tissues with and without liver metastasis, 158 DEGs and top 10 hub genes were screened."}], "state": "complete"}], "gaps": []}, "experiment": {"state": "complete", "objective": "Among 57,835 CRC patients, 10,012 (17.31%) had distant metastasis, and prognostic nomograms for OS and CSS were constructed and validated, while 158 DEGs and 10 hub genes were identified.", "steps": [{"id": "read_published_estimate", "order": 1, "name": "Read the published estimate from the source", "kind": "other", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The claim, method and evidence span published with the source article.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["source:pmid:35530362"], "outputs": ["the published estimate and its evidence"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "obtain_source_data", "order": 2, "name": "Obtain the source data from the named repository", "kind": "data-preparation", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The GEO series accession resolves and its sample accessions are listed. This lane did not download the dataset or read its licence.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE41258"], "outputs": ["the source data with its repository provenance"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "run_analysis", "order": 3, "name": "Run the published analysis", "kind": "analysis", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "Apply the paper's statistical method to the resolved series and compare the result with the published target.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE41258"], "outputs": ["the replicated result and its comparison"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}], "materials": [], "instruments": [], "reagents": [], "conditions": {}, "gaps": []}, "data": {"state": "partial", "assets": [{"id": "source:pmid:35530362", "role": "manuscript", "format": "xml", "media_type": "application/xml", "uri": "https://doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2022.878805", "sha256": "sha256:3a21f0c8099f81893075477305ed24fca55c171df1a63b3d5d2bda5f9db72922", "bytes": 40730, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "10.3389/fonc.2022.878805", "version": null, "note": "Full article fetched from PMC; the checksum covers the rendered section body, not the original XML bytes.", "structure": {"pmcid": "PMC9074728", "source": "europe_pmc_fulltext", "coverage": "whole_body_without_references", "text_hash_scope": "rendered_section_body"}}, {"id": "data:geo:GSE41258", "role": "raw", "format": "geo-series", "media_type": "application/vnd.ncbi.geo-series+json", "uri": "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=GSE41258", "sha256": null, "bytes": null, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "GSE41258", "version": null, "note": "Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).", "structure": {"repository": "GEO", "access_route": "GEO accession URL", "access_statement_verbatim": "Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (http://seer.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).", "access_statement_kind": "data_availability_statement", "sample_accessions": ["GSM1012278", "GSM1012279", "GSM1012280", "GSM1012281", "GSM1012282", "GSM1012283", "GSM1012284", "GSM1012285", "GSM1012286", "GSM1012287", "GSM1012288", "GSM1012289", "GSM1012290", "GSM1012291", "GSM1012292", "GSM1012293", "GSM1012294", "GSM1012295", "GSM1012296", "GSM1012297", "GSM1012298", "GSM1012299", "GSM1012300", "GSM1012301", "GSM1012302", "GSM1012303", "GSM1012304", "GSM1012305", "GSM1012306", "GSM1012307", "GSM1012308", "GSM1012309", "GSM1012310", "GSM1012311", "GSM1012312", "GSM1012313", "GSM1012314", "GSM1012315", "GSM1012316", "GSM1012317", "GSM1012318", "GSM1012319", "GSM1012320", "GSM1012321", "GSM1012322", "GSM1012323", "GSM1012324", "GSM1012325", 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