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pmid:38617526

Identification of an immune-related signature as a prognostic classifier for patients with early-stage head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

Le Wang · Yulin Zhang · Hongmin Li · Jilin Peng · Changhui Gao · Qiuning Yu · Pei Gao · Ling Li · Kuisheng Chen · Fanglei Ye

Translational cancer research · 2024 doi:10.21037/tcr-23-1791

Paper

complete

Experiment

complete

Data

partial

Analysis

complete

Execution

absent

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pmid:38617526
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title
Identification of an immune-related signature as a prognostic classifier for patients with early-stage head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.
doi
10.21037/tcr-23-1791
pmid
38617526
authors array · 10 items
[0]
Le Wang
[1]
Yulin Zhang
[2]
Hongmin Li
[3]
Jilin Peng
[4]
Changhui Gao
[5]
Qiuning Yu
[6]
Pei Gao
[7]
Ling Li
[8]
Kuisheng Chen
[9]
Fanglei Ye
journal
Translational cancer research
year
2024
abstract
Background: Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is the most common type and accounts for 90% of all head and neck cancer cases. Despite advances in early diagnosis and treatment strategies-chemotherapy, surgical resection, and radiotherapy-5-year survival remains grim. For patients with early-stage HNSCC, accurately predicting clinical outcomes is challenging. Considering the pivotal role of the immune system in HNSCC, we developed a reliable immune-related gene signature (IRGS) and explored its predictive accuracy in patients with early-stage HNSCC. Methods: We examined immune gene expression profiles and clinical information from 230 early-stage HNSCC specimens, including 100 cases from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), 49 cases from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO; GSE65858), and 81 cases from an independent clinical cohort. The prognostic signature was constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm. We also explored the IRGS-related biological pathways and immune landscape using bioinformatics analysis. Results: A nine-immune-gene signature was generated to significantly stratify patients into high and low-risk groups. High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275-58.109, P<0.001]. The signature demonstrated robust prognostic ability in the training and validation sets and could independently predict overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS). Subsequently, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and C-index confirmed the signature's predictive accuracy compared to clinical parameters. Additionally, cases classified as low risk showed more immune cell infiltration than high-risk cases. Conclusions: Our novel IRGS is a reliable and robust classifier for accurate patient stratification and prognostic evaluation. Future studies will attempt to affirm the signature's clinical application to early-stage HNSCC.
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The prognostic signature was constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm.
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A nine-immune-gene signature was generated to significantly stratify patients into high and low-risk groups.
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High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275–58.109, P<0.001].
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High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275–58.109, P<0.001].
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source:pmid:38617526
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manuscript
label
PMID 38617526 full text
[2] object · 3 fields
id
data:geo:GSE65858
type
dataset
label
GEO GSE65858
activities array · 3 items
[0] object · 4 fields
id
activity-reading-sci-2026-11-01
type
classification
used array · 3 items
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pmid:38617526
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paper
label
pmid:38617526
[1] object · 3 fields
id
source:pmid:38617526
type
manuscript
label
PMID 38617526 full text
[2] object · 3 fields
id
data:geo:GSE65858
type
dataset
label
GEO GSE65858
agent
agent:corpus-assay-engine
[1] object · 4 fields
id
activity-read-38617526
type
extraction
used array · 1 item
[0]
source:pmid:38617526
agent
agent:minimax-reader
[2] object · 4 fields
id
activity-resolve-GSE65858
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accession_resolution
used array · 1 item
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data:geo:GSE65858
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agent:corpus-assay-engine
agents array · 2 items
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agent:corpus-assay-engine
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Corpus assay engine
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agent:minimax-reader
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software
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MiniMax literature reader
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dsl_catalogue_fingerprint
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capability_table_fingerprint
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snapshot_id
ba34b49490d9bfaf
lineage object · 4 fields
parent_id
pmid:38617526
parent_hash
sha256:d9de7920e88162107e37708d3a44544a7374955751eaaeed4441235962fa3556
fork_of
null
gaps array · 6 items
[0]
asset:data:geo:GSE65858 licence not read
[1]
asset:data:geo:GSE65858 not downloaded
[2]
execution.not_run
[3]
review.human_critique
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review.independent_reader
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review.machine_critique
assays array · 1 item
[0] object · 11 fields
role
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dsl_catalogue
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evidence array · 1 item
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The prognostic signature was constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm.
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assay:1
Complete file
{"sci_version": "1.2", "schema": "https://corpus.bntrg.co.uk/sci/1.0/sci.schema.json", "id": "pmid:38617526", "kind": "science-record", "revision": 3, "content_hash": "sha256:f933a68c9b3f8aec64876d712fd615fe544a99923f84a7b911a9fd02436fe02d", "created_at": "2026-11-01T19:20:35Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-01T22:11:41Z", "generator": {"name": "corpus-assay-engine", "run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01"}, "paper": {"state": "complete", "title": "Identification of an immune-related signature as a prognostic classifier for patients with early-stage head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.", "doi": "10.21037/tcr-23-1791", "pmid": "38617526", "authors": ["Le Wang", "Yulin Zhang", "Hongmin Li", "Jilin Peng", "Changhui Gao", "Qiuning Yu", "Pei Gao", "Ling Li", "Kuisheng Chen", "Fanglei Ye"], "journal": "Translational cancer research", "year": 2024, "abstract": "Background: Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is the most common type and accounts for 90% of all head and neck cancer cases. Despite advances in early diagnosis and treatment strategies-chemotherapy, surgical resection, and radiotherapy-5-year survival remains grim. For patients with early-stage HNSCC, accurately predicting clinical outcomes is challenging. Considering the pivotal role of the immune system in HNSCC, we developed a reliable immune-related gene signature (IRGS) and explored its predictive accuracy in patients with early-stage HNSCC.\nMethods: We examined immune gene expression profiles and clinical information from 230 early-stage HNSCC specimens, including 100 cases from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), 49 cases from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO; GSE65858), and 81 cases from an independent clinical cohort. The prognostic signature was constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm. We also explored the IRGS-related biological pathways and immune landscape using bioinformatics analysis.\nResults: A nine-immune-gene signature was generated to significantly stratify patients into high and low-risk groups. High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275-58.109, P<0.001]. The signature demonstrated robust prognostic ability in the training and validation sets and could independently predict overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS). Subsequently, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and C-index confirmed the signature's predictive accuracy compared to clinical parameters. Additionally, cases classified as low risk showed more immune cell infiltration than high-risk cases.\nConclusions: Our novel IRGS is a reliable and robust classifier for accurate patient stratification and prognostic evaluation. Future studies will attempt to affirm the signature's clinical application to early-stage HNSCC.", "claims": [{"id": "claim-method", "statement": "The prognostic signature was constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm.", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:38617526", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 2", "quote": "The prognostic signature was constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm."}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-data-access", "statement": "Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-1791/dss", "kind": "methodological", "target": null, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:38617526", "locator": "sections[22] \"fn-group\" paragraph 1", "quote": "Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-1791/dss"}], "state": "complete"}, {"id": "claim-target-result", "statement": "High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275–58.109, P<0.001].", "kind": "quantitative", "target": {"value": 95.0, "unit": "per cent", "tolerance": null, "source": "High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275–58.109, P<0.001]."}, "evidence": [{"asset": "source:pmid:38617526", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "A nine-immune-gene signature was generated to significantly stratify patients into high and low-risk groups."}, {"asset": "source:pmid:38617526", "locator": "sections[0] \"Abstract\" paragraph 3", "quote": "High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275–58.109, P<0.001]."}], "state": "complete"}], "gaps": []}, "experiment": {"state": "complete", "objective": "High risk patients exhibited shorter survival time [hazard ratio (HR) =13.795, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.275–58.109, P<0.001].", "steps": [{"id": "read_published_estimate", "order": 1, "name": "Read the published estimate from the source", "kind": "other", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The claim, method and evidence span published with the source article.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["source:pmid:38617526"], "outputs": ["the published estimate and its evidence"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "obtain_source_data", "order": 2, "name": "Obtain the source data from the named repository", "kind": "data-preparation", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "The GEO series accession resolves and its sample accessions are listed. This lane did not download the dataset or read its licence.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE65858"], "outputs": ["the source data with its repository provenance"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "run_analysis", "order": 3, "name": "Run the published analysis", "kind": "analysis", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "Apply the paper's statistical method to the resolved series and compare the result with the published target.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE65858"], "outputs": ["the replicated result and its comparison"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}], "materials": [], "instruments": [], "reagents": [], "conditions": {}, "gaps": []}, "data": {"state": "partial", "assets": [{"id": "source:pmid:38617526", "role": "manuscript", "format": "xml", "media_type": "application/xml", "uri": "https://doi.org/10.21037/tcr-23-1791", "sha256": "sha256:bd6a2bcfcf0929de72b1c75c954054eac60f5673871561fe86b16b15add40109", "bytes": 32627, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "10.21037/tcr-23-1791", "version": null, "note": "Full article fetched from PMC; the checksum covers the rendered section body, not the original XML bytes.", "structure": {"pmcid": "PMC11009812", "source": "europe_pmc_fulltext", "coverage": "whole_body_without_references", "text_hash_scope": "rendered_section_body"}}, {"id": "data:geo:GSE65858", "role": "raw", "format": "geo-series", "media_type": "application/vnd.ncbi.geo-series+json", "uri": "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=GSE65858", "sha256": null, "bytes": null, "access": "open", "state": "resolved", "reader": null, "reader_status": "reader_required", "identifier": "GSE65858", "version": null, "note": "Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-1791/dss", "structure": 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constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm."}}, {"id": "method-2", "family": "survival_analysis", "specific": "cox_proportional_hazards", "label": "Survival analysis", "dsl_operations": ["cox_ph"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["time_to_event_with_censoring"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "COX regression"}}, {"id": "method-3", "family": "survival_analysis", "specific": "log_rank_test", "label": "Survival analysis", "dsl_operations": ["logrank_test"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["time_to_event_with_censoring"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "log-rank"}}, {"id": "method-4", "family": "principal_component_analysis", "specific": "pca", "label": "Principal component analysis", "dsl_operations": ["pca_fit"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["wide_numeric_matrix"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "principal component analysis"}}, {"id": "method-5", "family": "diagnostic_evaluation", "specific": "roc", "label": "Diagnostic test evaluation", "dsl_operations": ["confusion_counts", "roc_curve", "sensitivity_specificity", "solve_confusion_matrix", "classification_metrics", "published_precision_envelope"], "missing_operations": [], "expressible": true, "parameters": {}, "data_shapes": ["reference_standard_and_test"], "evidence": {"score": 0.8, "band": "high", "quote": "ROC analysis"}}], "targets": [{"id": "target-published-estimate", "claim_id": "claim-target-result", "operation": "classification_metrics", "expected_value": 95.0, "unit": "per cent", "tolerance": null, "state": "complete", "note": "The published estimate as the reader quoted it from the paper. 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The physical bench the paper used is not, so a physical validation cannot be run here."}, "data": {"tier": "R1", "reachable": true, "accessions": ["GSE65858"], "resolved_accessions": ["GSE65858"], "statements": ["Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-1791/dss"], "basis": "The paper names GSE65858 in Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and the accession resolves in the repository. No dataset was downloaded and no licence was read."}}, "can_run": {"dsl_operations": ["survival_km"], "assets": ["source:pmid:38617526", "data:geo:GSE65858"], "steps": ["run_analysis"]}, "must_build": {"dsl_operations": [], "converters": [], "readers": [], "capabilities": [], "data_gaps": ["data:geo:GSE65858"]}, "gaps": []}, "review": {"state": "partial", "machine_critique": {"kind": "extraction_review", "reader": {"model": "MiniMax-M3.1-Flash", "provider": "minimax", "provider_family": "minimax", "read_at": "2026-11-01T19:15:38Z", "independence": "single_reader"}, "evidence_check": {"method": "verbatim", "availability": "verbatim"}, "calls": 5, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 9133, "completion_tokens": 2120, "cached_tokens": 256}}, "human_critique": null, "stages": [{"id": "extraction", "state": "complete", "reader": "MiniMax-M3.1-Flash", "provider": "minimax"}], "gaps": ["review.independent_reader", "review.machine_critique", "review.human_critique"]}, "execution": {"state": "absent", "status": "not_run", "mode": null, "runs": [], "gaps": ["execution.not_run"]}, "provenance": {"entities": [{"id": "pmid:38617526", "type": "paper", "label": "pmid:38617526"}, {"id": "source:pmid:38617526", "type": "manuscript", "label": "PMID 38617526 full text"}, {"id": "data:geo:GSE65858", "type": "dataset", "label": "GEO GSE65858"}], "activities": [{"id": "activity-reading-sci-2026-11-01", "type": "classification", "used": [{"id": "pmid:38617526", "type": "paper", "label": "pmid:38617526"}, {"id": "source:pmid:38617526", "type": "manuscript", "label": "PMID 38617526 full text"}, {"id": "data:geo:GSE65858", "type": "dataset", "label": "GEO GSE65858"}], "agent": "agent:corpus-assay-engine"}, {"id": "activity-read-38617526", "type": "extraction", "used": ["source:pmid:38617526"], "agent": "agent:minimax-reader"}, {"id": "activity-resolve-GSE65858", "type": "accession_resolution", "used": ["data:geo:GSE65858"], "agent": "agent:corpus-assay-engine"}], "agents": [{"id": "agent:corpus-assay-engine", "type": "software", "label": "Corpus assay engine"}, {"id": "agent:minimax-reader", "type": "software", "label": "MiniMax literature reader"}], "source_run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01", "dsl_catalogue_fingerprint": "343fb30756ba6ec3", "capability_table_fingerprint": "2cb3e42f047d2ecf", "snapshot_id": "ba34b49490d9bfaf"}, "lineage": {"parent_id": "pmid:38617526", "parent_hash": "sha256:d9de7920e88162107e37708d3a44544a7374955751eaaeed4441235962fa3556", "fork_of": null, "generation": 2}, "gaps": ["asset:data:geo:GSE65858 licence not read", "asset:data:geo:GSE65858 not downloaded", "execution.not_run", "review.human_critique", "review.independent_reader", "review.machine_critique"], "assays": [{"role": "analysis", "definition_id": "survival_analysis", "definition_version": "f2132e96ae6c7a4e", "definition_digest": null, "required_operations": ["survival_km"], "support_state": "supported", "source_hashes": {"dsl_catalogue": "f2132e96ae6c7a4e"}, "confidence": 1.0, "evidence": ["The prognostic signature was constructed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox algorithm."], "order_basis": "analysis_only", "id": "assay:1"}]}