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pmid:31417870

A Robust 8-Gene Prognostic Signature for Early-Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer.

Ru He · Shuguang Zuo

Frontiers in oncology · 2019 doi:10.3389/fonc.2019.00693

Paper

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Experiment

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Data

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title
A Robust 8-Gene Prognostic Signature for Early-Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer.
doi
10.3389/fonc.2019.00693
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31417870
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[0]
Ru He
[1]
Shuguang Zuo
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Frontiers in oncology
year
2019
abstract
Background: The current staging system is imprecise for prognostic prediction of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study aimed to develop a robust prognostic signature for early-stage NSCLC, allowing classification of patients with a high risk of poor outcome and specific treatment decision. Method: In the present study, a comprehensive genome-wide profiling analysis was conducted using a retrospective pool of early-stage NSCLC patient data from the previous datasets of Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) including GSE31210, GSE37745, and GSE50081 and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Cox proportional hazards models were implemented to determine the association between gene expression levels and overall patient survival in each dataset. The common genes among all datasets were selected as candidate prognostic genes. A risk score model was developed and validated using four independent datasets and the entire cohort. The Kaplan-Meier with log-rank test was used to assess survival difference. Results: A univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for each dataset showed that a total of 2280 genes in GSE31210, 762 genes in GSE37745, 871 genes in GSE50081, and 666 genes in TCGA were identified as candidate protective genes, while overall 2131 genes in GSE31210, 913 in GSE37745, 1107 in GSE50081, and 997 in TCGA were identified as candidate risky genes. There were 8 common genes associated with overall survival, including 7 mRNA and 1 lncRNA. By using the Step-wise multivariate Cox analysis, an 8-gene prognostic signature (CDCP1, HMMR, TPX2, CIRBP, HLF, KBTBD7, SEC24B-AS1, and SH2B1) for early-stage NSCLC was developed. Patients in the high-risk group had shorter overall survival than those in the low-risk group. Multivariate regression and stratified analysis suggested that the prognostic power of the 8-gene signature was independent of other clinical factors. Furthermore, the 8-gene signature achieved AUC values of 0.726, 0.701, 0.725 and 0.650 in GSE31210, GSE37745, GSE50081 and TCGA, respectively. Moreover, the combination of the 8-gene signature and the stage resulted to a better patient classification for survival prediction and treatment decision. Conclusion: This study developed a robust gene signature with great value for prognostic prediction in early-stage NSCLC, which may contribute to patient classification and personalized treatment decisions.
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A univariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess the association of gene expression with the overall survival of NSCLC patients in each cohort. The raw data of gene expression and corresponding clinical information of patients with early-stage NSCLC were downloaded from GEO and TCGA, respectively.
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A univariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess the association of gene expression with the overall survival of NSCLC patients in each cohort.
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sections[3] "Patients and Study Design" paragraph 2
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The raw data of gene expression and corresponding clinical information of patients with early-stage NSCLC were downloaded from GEO and TCGA, respectively.
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The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Biomarker discovery in non-small cell lung cancer: integrating gene expression profiling, meta-analysis and tissue microarray validation
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The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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title
Validation of a histology-independent prognostic gene signature for early stage, non-small cell lung cancer including stage IA patients
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General information of the 8 genes for constructing the prognostic signature.
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Prognostic Signature Generation
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Table 1
caption
General information of the 8 genes for constructing the prognostic signature.
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[0] array · 6 items
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Gene stable ID
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Gene name
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Protein coding
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28846600
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TPX2
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Protein coding
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31739271
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Univariate regression analysis of 8 genes and overall survival of NSCLC patients in 4 datasets.
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Prognostic Signature Generation
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Table 2
caption
Univariate regression analysis of 8 genes and overall survival of NSCLC patients in 4 datasets.
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[0] array · 5 items
[0]
Genes
[1]
GSE31210
[2]
GSE37745
[3]
GSE5008
[4]
TCGA
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[0]
[1]
HR (95% CI)
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P
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HR (95% CI)
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P
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HR (95% CI)
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P
[7]
HR (95% CI)
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P
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CDCP1
[1]
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[2]
3.80E-03
[3]
1.93 (1.42–2.63)
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2.40E-05
[5]
1.42 (1.04–1.95)
[6]
3.00E-02
[7]
1.17 (1.02–1.35)
[8]
2.20E-02
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CIRBP
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3.00E-05
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0.65 (0.45–0.95)
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2.70E-02
[5]
0.6 (0.39–0.93)
[6]
2.30E-02
[7]
0.67 (0.53–0.85)
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8.40E-04
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HLF
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0.85 (0.74–0.99)
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3.40E-02
[5]
0.76 (0.63–0.92)
[6]
5.80E-03
[7]
0.92 (0.85–0.99)
[8]
3.10E-02
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HMMR
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1.61 (1.21–2.13)
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1.00E-03
[3]
1.35 (1.1–1.66)
[4]
3.80E-03
[5]
1.29 (1.02–1.63)
[6]
3.50E-02
[7]
1.16 (1.01–1.33)
[8]
3.60E-02
[6] array · 9 items
[0]
KBTBD7
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1.60E-02
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3.20E-02
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0.64 (0.46–0.9)
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9.60E-03
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0.77 (0.61–0.97)
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2.40E-02
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[0]
SEC24B-AS1
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9.90E-05
[3]
0.62 (0.4–0.97)
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3.70E-02
[5]
0.48 (0.24–0.95)
[6]
3.50E-02
[7]
0.78 (0.65–0.94)
[8]
1.00E-02
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SH2B1
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1.20E-02
[3]
0.38 (0.19–0.74)
[4]
4.70E-03
[5]
0.32 (0.13–0.78)
[6]
1.30E-02
[7]
0.79 (0.65–0.96)
[8]
1.70E-02
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[0]
TPX2
[1]
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8.90E-04
[3]
1.17 (1.01–1.35)
[4]
3.70E-02
[5]
1.27 (1.08–1.49)
[6]
4.40E-03
[7]
1.12 (1–1.24)
[8]
5.00E-02
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Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of the gene signature and overall survival of NSCLC patients in 4 independent datasets.
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The 8-Gene Prognostic Signature Is Independent of Other Clinicopathological Factors
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Table 3
caption
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of the gene signature and overall survival of NSCLC patients in 4 independent datasets.
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[0]
Variables
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Patients (N)
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Univariate analysis
[3]
Multivariate analysis
[1] array · 7 items
[0]
[1]
[2]
[3]
HR (95% CI)
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P
[5]
HR (95% CI)
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P
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[0]
GSE31210
[3] array · 7 items
[0]
Age
[1]
< = 65/>65
[2]
176/50
[3]
2.58 (1.31–5.08)
[4]
6.00E-03
[5]
2.71 (1.31–5.63)
[6]
7.50E-03
[4] array · 7 items
[0]
Gender
[1]
Male/Female
[2]
121/105
[3]
1.52 (0.78–2.96)
[4]
2.20E-01
[5]
[6]
[5] array · 7 items
[0]
ALK fusion
[1]
−/+
[2]
215/11
[3]
1.49 (0.36–6.24)
[4]
5.80E-01
[5]
[6]
[6] array · 7 items
[0]
EGFR mutation
[1]
−/+
[2]
99/127
[3]
0.47 (0.24–0.93)
[4]
3.00E-02
[5]
0.77 (0.36–1.67)
[6]
5.10E-01
[7] array · 7 items
[0]
KRAS mutation
[1]
−/+
[2]
206/20
[3]
0.87 (0.27–2.85)
[4]
8.20E-01
[5]
[6]
[8] array · 7 items
[0]
Myc
[1]
Low/High
[2]
207/17
[3]
0.70 (0.17–2.90)
[4]
6.20E-01
[5]
[6]
[9] array · 7 items
[0]
Stage
[1]
IA/IB
[2]
114/54
[3]
2.47 (0.95–6.40)
[4]
6.30E-02
[5]
1.69 (0.64–4.46)
[6]
2.90E-01
[10] array · 7 items
[0]
Stage
[1]
IA/II
[2]
114/58
[3]
6.18 (2.68–14.26)
[4]
1.90E-05
[5]
4.89 (2.00–11.95)
[6]
4.90E-04
[11] array · 7 items
[0]
Smoking
[1]
No/Yes
[2]
115/111
[3]
1.64 (0.84–3.20)
[4]
1.50E-01
[5]
[6]
[12] array · 7 items
[0]
Risk score
[1]
Low/High
[2]
113/113
[3]
4.74 (2.07–10.87)
[4]
2.40E-04
[5]
3.51 (1.47–8.37)
[6]
4.60E-03
[13] array · 1 item
[0]
GSE37745
[14] array · 7 items
[0]
Age
[1]
< = 65/>65
[2]
82/83
[3]
1.51 (1.05–2.18)
[4]
2.60E-02
[5]
1.46 (1.00–2.13)
[6]
4.80E-02
[15] array · 7 items
[0]
Gender
[1]
Male/Female
[2]
74/91
[3]
1.11 (0.77–1.60)
[4]
5.90E-01
[5]
[6]
[16] array · 7 items
[0]
Stage
[1]
IA/IB
[2]
40/90
[3]
1.71 (1.07–2.73)
[4]
2.50E-02
[5]
1.69 (1.04–2.72)
[6]
3.30E-02
[17] array · 7 items
[0]
Stage
[1]
IA/II
[2]
40/35
[3]
1.77 (1.02–3.06)
[4]
4.30E-02
[5]
1.81 (1.01–3.23)
[6]
4.50E-02
[18] array · 7 items
[0]
Histological type
[1]
Adeno/Large
[2]
89/21
[3]
0.97 (0.54–1.73)
[4]
9.10E-01
[5]
[6]
[19] array · 7 items
[0]
Histological type
[1]
Adeno/Squamous
[2]
89/55
[3]
1.25 (0.84–1.85)
[4]
2.80E-01
[5]
[6]
[20] array · 7 items
[0]
Performance status
[1]
0/1
[2]
87/66
[3]
2.04 (1.39–2.98)
[4]
2.40E-04
[5]
2.26 (1.53–3.34)
[6]
4.10E-05
[21] array · 7 items
[0]
Performance status
[1]
0/2–3
[2]
87/12
[3]
1.50 (0.74–3.04)
[4]
2.60E-01
[5]
1.47 (0.70–3.08)
[6]
3.10E-01
[22] array · 7 items
[0]
Risk score
[1]
Low/High
[2]
83/82
[3]
2.23 (1.54–3.23)
[4]
2.00E-05
[5]
2.69 (1.82–3.97)
[6]
6.00E-07
[23] array · 1 item
[0]
GSE50081
[24] array · 7 items
[0]
Age
[1]
< = 65/>65
[2]
59/122
[3]
1.56 (0.93–2.61)
[4]
9.00E-02
[5]
1.30 (0.74–2.30)
[6]
3.60E-01
[25] array · 7 items
[0]
Gender
[1]
Male/Female
[2]
83/98
[3]
1.93 (1.19–3.14)
[4]
7.80E-03
[5]
1.73 (0.99–3.00)
[6]
5.30E-02
[26] array · 7 items
[0]
Stage
[1]
IA/IB
[2]
48/79
[3]
1.76 (0.93–3.34)
[4]
8.20E-02
[5]
1.78 (0.83–3.83)
[6]
1.40E-01
[27] array · 7 items
[0]
Stage
[1]
IA/II
[2]
48/54
[3]
2.46 (1.27–4.78)
[4]
7.80E-03
[5]
3.13 (1.39–7.01)
[6]
5.70E-03
[28] array · 7 items
[0]
Histological type
[1]
Adeno/Large
[2]
127/7
[3]
1.71 (0.62–4.74)
[4]
3.00E-01
[5]
[6]
[29] array · 7 items
[0]
Histological type
[1]
Adeno/Other
[2]
127/4
[3]
1.84 (0.57–5.92)
[4]
3.00E-01
[5]
[6]
[30] array · 7 items
[0]
Histological type
[1]
Adeno/Squamous
[2]
127/43
[3]
0.8 (0.46–1.39)
[4]
4.30E-01
[5]
[6]
[31] array · 7 items
[0]
Smoking
[1]
No/Yes
[2]
24/136
[3]
1.39 (0.66–2.92)
[4]
3.90E-01
[5]
[6]
[32] array · 7 items
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Risk score
[1]
Low/High
[2]
91/90
[3]
2.33 (1.45–3.75)
[4]
4.90E-04
[5]
1.92 (1.10–3.37)
[6]
2.20E-02
[33] array · 1 item
[0]
TCGA
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[0]
Age
[1]
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[2]
325/434
[3]
1.29 (0.95–1.75)
[4]
1.10E-01
[5]
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Gender
[1]
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[2]
306/453
[3]
0.96 (0.71–1.29)
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7.70E-01
[5]
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Stage
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IA/IB
[2]
213/277
[3]
1.31 (0.87–1.97)
[4]
1.90E-01
[5]
1.23 (0.82–1.85)
[6]
3.20E-01
[37] array · 7 items
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Stage
[1]
IA/II
[2]
213/269
[3]
2.04 (1.36–3.05)
[4]
5.30E-04
[5]
1.94 (1.28–2.92)
[6]
1.60E-03
[38] array · 7 items
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Histological type
[1]
Adeno/Squamous
[2]
372/387
[3]
1.18 (0.88–1.60)
[4]
2.70E-01
[5]
[6]
[39] array · 7 items
[0]
Risk score
[1]
Low/High
[2]
380/379
[3]
1.59 (1.18–2.14)
[4]
2.50E-03
[5]
1.47 (1.08–2.00)
[6]
1.40E-02
locator
section[9]/table-wrap[1]#T3
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asset:table:pmid:31417870:4
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jats-table
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application/vnd.jats.table+json
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access
open
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reader
read_table
reader_status
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identifier
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note
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of the gene signature and overall survival of NSCLC patients in entire cohort.
structure object · 5 fields
pmcid
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section_index
9
section_title
The 8-Gene Prognostic Signature Is Independent of Other Clinicopathological Factors
row_count
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column_count
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label
Table 4
caption
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of the gene signature and overall survival of NSCLC patients in entire cohort.
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[0] array · 4 items
[0]
Variables
[1]
Patients (N)
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Univariate analysis
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Multivariate analysis
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[1]
[2]
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HR (95% CI)
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P
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HR (95% CI)
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[0]
Age
[1]
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[2]
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[3]
1.85 (1.51–2.25)
[4]
1.40E-09
[5]
1.77 (1.44–2.17)
[6]
4.00E-08
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[1]
Male/Female
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591/749
[3]
1.34 (1.10–1.63)
[4]
3.90E-03
[5]
1.11 (0.91–1.37)
[6]
3.00E-01
[4] array · 7 items
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Stage
[1]
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[2]
923/417
[3]
1.75 (1.43–2.14)
[4]
5.80E-08
[5]
1.62 (1.32–1.99)
[6]
3.80E-06
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Histological type
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819/28
[3]
1.61 (1.00–2.62)
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5.20E-02
[5]
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8.70E-02
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Histological type
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819/4
[3]
2.10 (0.67–6.57)
[4]
2.00E-01
[5]
1.83 (0.58–5.76)
[6]
3.00E-01
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Histological type
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Adeno/Squamous
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819/489
[3]
1.76 (1.44–2.15)
[4]
3.00E-08
[5]
1.33 (1.08–1.64)
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7.80E-03
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[3]
2.07 (1.69–2.53)
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1.60E-12
[5]
1.90 (1.55–2.33)
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8.70E-10
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section[9]/table-wrap[2]#T4
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asset:data:geo:GSE31210 not downloaded
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asset:data:geo:GSE37745 not downloaded
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asset:data:geo:GSE37745 licence not read
[4]
asset:data:geo:GSE50081 not downloaded
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cox_proportional_hazards
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cox_ph
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time_to_event_with_censoring
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score
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band
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quote
A univariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess the association of gene expression with the overall survival of NSCLC patients in each cohort. The raw data of gene expression and corresponding clinical information of patients with early-stage NSCLC were downloaded from GEO and TCGA, respectively.
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time_to_event_with_censoring
evidence object · 3 fields
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Kaplan-Meier
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method-3
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survival_analysis
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log_rank_test
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Survival analysis
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logrank_test
missing_operations array · 0 items
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time_to_event_with_censoring
evidence object · 3 fields
score
0.7
band
medium
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log-rank
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state
complete
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capability_id
capability:computational_analysis
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meta_analysis
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survival_analysis
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statistical_regression
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Automated Assays Laravel application and simulated adapters
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readiness object · 8 fields
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blocked_on
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cox_ph
missing_operations array · 0 items
basis
The paper names the method it used and the corpus's method extractor maps it onto the DSL catalogue: cox_proportional_hazards.
capability object · 4 fields
tier
R1
capability_id
capability:computational_analysis
availability_state
owned
basis
The computational analysis is owned. The physical bench the paper used is not, so a physical validation cannot be run here.
data object · 6 fields
tier
R1
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true
accessions array · 3 items
[0]
GSE31210
[1]
GSE37745
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GSE50081
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GSE31210
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GSE37745
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GSE50081
statements array · 1 item
[0]
The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
basis
The paper names GSE31210, GSE37745, GSE50081 in Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and the accession resolves in the repository. No dataset was downloaded and no licence was read.
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dsl_operations array · 1 item
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cox_ph
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source:pmid:31417870
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asset:table:pmid:31417870:2
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asset:table:pmid:31417870:3
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asset:table:pmid:31417870:4
steps array · 1 item
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run_analysis
must_build object · 5 fields
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data:geo:GSE31210
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MiniMax-M3.1-Flash
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minimax
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minimax
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single_reader
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review.human_critique
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GEO GSE31210
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agent:corpus-assay-engine
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A univariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess the association of gene expression with the overall survival of NSCLC patients in each cohort. The raw data of gene expression and corresponding clinical information of patients with early-stage NSCLC were downloaded from GEO and TCGA, respectively.
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{"sci_version": "1.2", "schema": "https://corpus.bntrg.co.uk/sci/1.0/sci.schema.json", "id": "pmid:31417870", "kind": "science-record", "revision": 6, "content_hash": "sha256:ac398a17cec5fa156dac4edbf39f6d78fc3c08674f8185a754c7e074c13f7247", "created_at": "2026-11-01T15:40:48Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-01T21:22:25Z", "generator": {"name": "corpus-assay-engine", "run_id": "reading-sci-2026-11-01"}, "paper": {"state": "complete", "title": "A Robust 8-Gene Prognostic Signature for Early-Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer.", "doi": "10.3389/fonc.2019.00693", "pmid": "31417870", "authors": ["Ru He", "Shuguang Zuo"], "journal": "Frontiers in oncology", "year": 2019, "abstract": "Background: The current staging system is imprecise for prognostic prediction of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study aimed to develop a robust prognostic signature for early-stage NSCLC, allowing classification of patients with a high risk of poor outcome and specific treatment decision. Method: In the present study, a comprehensive genome-wide profiling analysis was conducted using a retrospective pool of early-stage NSCLC patient data from the previous datasets of Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) including GSE31210, GSE37745, and GSE50081 and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Cox proportional hazards models were implemented to determine the association between gene expression levels and overall patient survival in each dataset. The common genes among all datasets were selected as candidate prognostic genes. A risk score model was developed and validated using four independent datasets and the entire cohort. The Kaplan-Meier with log-rank test was used to assess survival difference. Results: A univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for each dataset showed that a total of 2280 genes in GSE31210, 762 genes in GSE37745, 871 genes in GSE50081, and 666 genes in TCGA were identified as candidate protective genes, while overall 2131 genes in GSE31210, 913 in GSE37745, 1107 in GSE50081, and 997 in TCGA were identified as candidate risky genes. There were 8 common genes associated with overall survival, including 7 mRNA and 1 lncRNA. By using the Step-wise multivariate Cox analysis, an 8-gene prognostic signature (CDCP1, HMMR, TPX2, CIRBP, HLF, KBTBD7, SEC24B-AS1, and SH2B1) for early-stage NSCLC was developed. Patients in the high-risk group had shorter overall survival than those in the low-risk group. Multivariate regression and stratified analysis suggested that the prognostic power of the 8-gene signature was independent of other clinical factors. Furthermore, the 8-gene signature achieved AUC values of 0.726, 0.701, 0.725 and 0.650 in GSE31210, GSE37745, GSE50081 and TCGA, respectively. Moreover, the combination of the 8-gene signature and the stage resulted to a better patient classification for survival prediction and treatment decision. Conclusion: This study developed a robust gene signature with great value for prognostic prediction in early-stage NSCLC, which may contribute to patient classification and personalized treatment decisions.", "claims": [{"id": "claim-method", "statement": "A univariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess the association of gene expression with the overall survival of NSCLC patients in each cohort. 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This lane did not download the dataset or read its licence.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE31210"], "outputs": ["the source data with its repository provenance"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}, {"id": "run_analysis", "order": 3, "name": "Run the published analysis", "kind": "analysis", "state": "complete", "blocked_on": null, "description": "Apply the paper's statistical method to the resolved series and compare the result with the published target.", "duration_hours": null, "parameters": {}, "inputs": ["data:geo:GSE31210"], "outputs": ["the replicated result and its comparison"], "instruments": [], "reagents": []}], "materials": [], "instruments": [], "reagents": [], "conditions": {}, "gaps": []}, "data": {"state": "partial", "assets": [{"id": "source:pmid:31417870", "role": "manuscript", "format": "xml", "media_type": "application/xml", "uri": "https://doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2019.00693", "sha256": 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(0.4–0.97)", "3.70E-02", "0.48 (0.24–0.95)", "3.50E-02", "0.78 (0.65–0.94)", "1.00E-02"], ["SH2B1", "0.34 (0.15–0.79)", "1.20E-02", "0.38 (0.19–0.74)", "4.70E-03", "0.32 (0.13–0.78)", "1.30E-02", "0.79 (0.65–0.96)", "1.70E-02"], ["TPX2", "1.49 (1.18–1.89)", "8.90E-04", "1.17 (1.01–1.35)", "3.70E-02", "1.27 (1.08–1.49)", "4.40E-03", "1.12 (1–1.24)", "5.00E-02"]], "row_count": 10, "column_count": 9, "numeric_cells": 72, "header_rows": 2, "locator": "section[7]/table-wrap[2]#T2"}}, {"id": "asset:table:pmid:31417870:3", "role": "table", "format": "jats-table", "media_type": "application/vnd.jats.table+json", "uri": null, "sha256": "sha256:b986a1fb357b977b3ded19c2e820ae82c484f70273a16a18f780dea53e4e1602", "bytes": 3401, "access": "open", "state": "verified", "reader": "read_table", "reader_status": "available", "identifier": "section[9]/table-wrap[1]#T3", "version": null, "note": "Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of the gene signature and overall survival of NSCLC patients in 4 independent datasets.", "structure": {"pmcid": "PMC6684755", "section_index": 9, "section_title": "The 8-Gene Prognostic Signature Is Independent of Other Clinicopathological Factors", "row_count": 40, "column_count": 7}, "table": {"label": "Table 3", "caption": "Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of the gene signature and overall survival of NSCLC patients in 4 independent datasets.", "rows": [["Variables", "Patients (N)", "Univariate analysis", "Multivariate analysis"], ["", "", "", "HR (95% CI)", "P", "HR (95% CI)", "P"], ["GSE31210"], ["Age", "< = 65/>65", "176/50", "2.58 (1.31–5.08)", "6.00E-03", "2.71 (1.31–5.63)", "7.50E-03"], ["Gender", "Male/Female", "121/105", "1.52 (0.78–2.96)", "2.20E-01", "", ""], ["ALK fusion", "−/+", "215/11", "1.49 (0.36–6.24)", "5.80E-01", "", ""], ["EGFR mutation", "−/+", "99/127", "0.47 (0.24–0.93)", "3.00E-02", "0.77 (0.36–1.67)", "5.10E-01"], ["KRAS mutation", "−/+", "206/20", "0.87 (0.27–2.85)", "8.20E-01", "", ""], 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